- Riga FC are unbeaten at home in all competitions this season, winning 5 from 5 (W5, L0).
- Riga have scored an average of 3.00 goals per home game so far this season (15 goals in total).
- FK Vardar Skopje score an average of 3.00 goals away from home and concede an average of 0.50 on the road across all competitions this term.
A big fixture for Riga and Vardar
This Tuesday's UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 fixture between Riga FC and FK Vardar Skopje should be a clash of styles that favours Riga FC, but the visitors' road form indicates that we shouldn't expect a stroll for the hosts.
The coach Adrián Guľa has turned Riga into a modern, possession-based team that plays in a 4-1-4-1 or 4-3-3 system and will try to dictate the tempo and dominate the ball here at Skonto Stadium. They press well and can control the width of the pitch when on it, but they'll need to keep their turnovers down against this week's visitors, who are a direct 4-4-2 side.
Guľa's men are in serious front-running form after winning 8 of their last 10 games in all competitions and they've scored 3.00 goals per game on average in their 5 home outings this term. Riga have won 3 from 3 in all competitions and they're coming into this fixture on a real high after beating Tukums 2000 3-1 at home in the Virsliga 2026 last Friday and dispatching Vardar 3-2 away from home in this competition this morning.
The midfielder Iago Siqueira has been Riga's standout player so far in UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 and he's their top scorer with 2 goals from 1 game.
Vardar will make Riga work hard
Vardar will arrive in Latvia at the back of a 5-match sequence of results that reads won 3, lost 2 (W3, L2), after a 2-0 away win against KuPS after extra time in UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026 last Thursday, prior to their defeat to Riga.
Cristian Fabbiani's men will come to play and they have a good chance of causing problems here given their road record this year. Vardar are unbeaten on the away in all competitions this campaign, winning 3 and drawing 1 (W3, D1), so they can definitely get on the scoresheet at Skonto.
We can't see how the 1.25 bookie odds makes sense for this fixture and we're certainly not having a bet on the game at that price. Vardar are a 7/1 outsider, which seems generous given their fine road record and the 5.0 on the draw is equally tempting.
Riga to edge it
Ultimately, we're going to side with the hosts to nick this match as they're clearly the better of the two teams on paper and they'll be riding high after their recent win over Vardar. However, the away side's road form has to be respected here so we're expecting a tight tie.
Riga to Win and Both Teams to Score-No is going to be our main selection for this match and the Over 2.5 goals market at 1.57 is considerably shorter than the Under 2.5 option at 2.25, which is how we're playing it.
