- Flora Tallinn have conceded just four goals across their last five competitive away matches (W4, D1).
- The New Saints FC have conceded six goals across their four home matches this season (W2, L2).
Tight encounter on the cards at Park Hall Stadium
The New Saints FC enter this match on the back of three straight defeats, a sequence which includes a 2-1 defeat to Sabah FK at home in UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026 and the 1-0 defeat to Flora Tallinn in the head-to-head matchup. Craig Harrison has done a fine job to take them so far since taking over in August 2022, but this is certainly a tough ask for the Welsh side who rely heavily on quick transitions and counter attacking.
A clash of European styles looks to be in store at Park Hall on Thursday, as the hosts will be hunting for turnovers and looking to stretch out the play quickly with their wide attackers. Meanwhile, Flora Tallinn will try to keep the ball on the ground, keep it in the wide areas and patiently build up in possession with their midfield pivot and full-backs.
The Estonians have the experience and the players to edge out a result in this tie, with an unbeaten run of five competitive away games (W4, D1) and a 1-0 victory in the reverse fixture.
Flora are the sharper value in the draw no bet market
Flora Tallinn's recent form in all competitions reads as 5-1-4, but that's somewhat misleading as they have been much better on the road, conceding only four goals in five away matches. They've been able to take control of games, keeping them on their terms and moving forward through the thirds.
They drew 2-2 away to FC Iberia 1999 in the second round of UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026 and then managed to get the win against TNS in the next round, proving that they have the mental strength to get the job done in Europe.
Veteran Konstantin Vassiljev sets them up and allows them to move the ball forward patiently from the back, while Remo Valdmets is another spark that has netted in his only UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 appearance.
The New Saints have been in solid overall form with six wins and four defeats across their last ten in all competitions, but they've conceded six goals in their four competitive home matches this term (W2, L2) and they rely a little too much on Ryan Brobbel up top (two goals in last five games, 50% of TNS goals).
Under 2.5 goals at 1.93 and Both Teams To Score - No at 2.0 both look to have a chance, but Flora's unbeaten run away from home and the fact they've had the edge in this matchup thus far make them the sharper choice in the 3-Way market at 4.14, with TNS coming in at 1.84.
