- Inter have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning four of the last five meetings (D0, L1).
- Roma’s recent away form has been patchy, with no wins in their last three away matches (D1, L2).
- Inter’s home record is solid, with one win and one draw from their last two at San Siro.
Inter’s momentum stalls
Inter come into the game on the back of two consecutive draws after a 1-1 draw with Atalanta at home and a 1-1 draw away to Fiorentina last time out. Cristian Chivu’s men have been much more solid than spectacular in Serie A 2025/2026, and their pragmatic, adaptive system has worked for them so far.
The Nerazzurri are currently top of Serie A on 69 points from 30 games, with Roma in sixth on 54 after the same number of matches. This fixture always means more than just the three points, but this time around it really could make the difference for both the title race and European places.
Chivu has overseen a balanced, compact team with a three-man defensive structure, patient build-up, and the ability to strike with vertical bursts of intensity. Roma, on the other hand, have seen Gian Piero Gasperini introduce a relentless high pressing system with just as much tempo and intensity as Inter, and fresh attacking impetus.
Roma to challenge Inter in a classic contest
Roma’s attack isn’t as clinical as Inter’s, but they’ve more than enough quality to trouble the Nerazzurri on Sunday. Roma score 1.13 and concede 0.93 goals per game away from home in Serie A 2025/2026, with Donyell Malen particularly sharp with seven goals in ten Serie A games this campaign. Francesco Pio Esposito has scored two of Inter’s last four goals, chipping in when needed.
Lautaro Martinez leads the line for Inter with 14 goals in 25 Serie A appearances this season, and he’s a constant threat to score in any game. The best play ahead of this game is to back both teams to score, with odds of 1.85 here. However, Inter’s average of 2.60 goals per home match in Serie A 2025/2026 suggests they’ll be the dominant force here.
Chivu’s Inter to take the win
Roma have been erratic on the road in Serie A 2025/2026, winning seven, drawing one and losing seven from 15 games. The Giallorossi’s last three matches have been a 2-1 defeat away to Calcio Como, a dramatic 4-3 home defeat to Bologna in the Europa League and a tight 1-0 home win over Lecce.
Inter have lost just twice at home in Serie A 2025/2026 (W11, D2, L2), and the clash of these two styles should produce a gripping, end-to-end clash on the flanks and in the half-spaces. We’re backing the hosts to win the game, with odds of 1.63 for a home victory, and a high-scoring affair is very likely, with over 2.5 goals taken at 1.9.
