- Inter have won 11, drawn two and lost two home games in Serie A 2025/2026.
- Roma’s record of seven wins, one draw and seven defeats from 15 Serie A 2025/2026 away days makes them difficult to predict.
Nerazzurri need to hit their stride
Inter are on a run of back-to-back draws after a 1-1 result at home to Atalanta followed a 1-1 stalemate at Fiorentina last weekend. Meanwhile, Roma have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five and their away form is particularly worrying with no wins in their last three on the road (D1, L2).
The form of both sides going into Sunday’s game is certainly not at the level of their two clubs, but the significance of the fixture in terms of the title race and European qualification makes this a classic Serie A showdown. Inter lead Serie A with 69 points from 30 games to Roma’s 54 in sixth spot.
The head-to-head record slightly favours Inter who have won four of the last five meetings between the sides with no draws and a 1-0 away win in Serie A 2025/2026, which was five months ago. But Roma have a new impetus to their play since Gian Piero Gasperini took over as manager in June 2025 and Inter have not been at their best of late.
Gasperini’s Roma will be a good test
Gasperini has implemented an aggressive high-pressing system with Roma that switches quickly and overloads wings with his wing-backs in a bid to unsettle opponents. It’s certainly a different challenge than Inter have faced recently and could lead to a much more free-flowing game.
Cristian Chivu has brought his own tactical nous to the club since taking over as coach in June 2025 and his side are very measured and disciplined in a three-man defence with patient build-up and quick vertical transitions. This matchup of styles should lead to an end-to-end game, particularly on the flanks and half-spaces.
There is a contrast in the two sides’ home and away records that may help to determine the winner on Sunday. Inter are a rock at home with 11 wins, two draws and two defeats in 2025/2026, but Roma have only won seven away from home. Inter are the obvious choice at around the 1.63 mark, but there is good value in the over 2.5 goals market at around 9/10 given that both teams have usually found the net recently.
Both teams to score is a good option
Inter are a better team and a fortress at San Siro, but Roma will press them all over the pitch and can cause problems, so both teams to score is the play at 17/20 rather than the hosts at 63/100.
Lautaro Martinez is Inter’s most lethal striker with 14 goals in Serie A 2025/2026 and they will be looking to him to make a difference on Sunday, but Francesco Pio Esposito has chipped in with two of Inter’s last four goals. Donyell Malen has been lethal in the final third for Roma this term, scoring seven goals in just 10 Serie A outings.
