- Ipswich's home record in the Queensland Premier League 2026 is W3, D4, L2, and they've conceded just nine goals in nine home games.
- North Star's away record in the Queensland Premier League 2026 is W2, D3, L5, and they're averaging just 0.80 goals per game away from home whilst conceding 2.00 per game on average.
- Ipswich have been very shaky at home recently, though, taking no wins from their last two (D1, L1), while North Star have only taken one point from their last five.
In-form duo can keep it close
Ipswich FC are favourites to beat North Star at 1.6 on Saturday, but the 4.4 about the visitors and 4.1 about the draw look extremely generous when you consider both teams have stumbled in recent weeks. The hosts have taken just one point from their last five matches, while North Star have also collected just one from the same number of fixtures.
Ipswich sit fifth in the Queensland Premier League 2026 on 28 points from 18 matches, while North Star are all the way down in tenth on 12 points from the same amount of matches, so it's no surprise that the hosts are rightful favourites.
Nevertheless, a 1-2 win for Ipswich on the road against North Star a couple of months ago gives the hosts the head-to-head edge, and there are several other reasons why this game could be closer than the bookmakers suggest.
Both teams can get on the scoresheet
Ipswich are built on possession, central build-up and an aggressive pressing game to recover the ball in the opposition half. They can suffocate teams, especially if they get on top early and turn recoveries into counterattacks. The problem is, they've only drawn and lost their two most recent home games, so they're the likeliest winners right now.
North Star are more direct and look to play at a higher tempo and take their chances in transition, which could make this a back-and-forth game if they land the first punch. However, their away record of two wins, three draws and five defeats from 10 trips isn't great, and they have only averaged 0.80 goals per away game.
Ipswich are certainly the most likely winners, but given both teams' recent wobble and the fact that North Star are a threat on the break, we feel over 2.5 goals at 1.48 suits the script of this game a little better than the 1.6 about the home team. Both teams to score is also too short at 1.5.
