- Capalaba have taken just one point from their last five matches, losing four.
- Holland Park Hawks are unbeaten in four of their last five, drawing the last two.
- Holland Park Hawks have taken fewer points away (11) than they have at home (13) in the Queensland Premier League 2026.
A clash of styles in South East Queensland
Capalaba arrive in poor form to face a Holland Park Hawks side who are enjoying a mixed but solid run at the moment. The Hawks will like their chances of adding to the hosts' woes on Sunday as they seek to extend their unbeaten run to five games.
Danny Gnjidic's men have not had it easy lately, taking just one point from their last five games, with a 1-4 home defeat to Redlands United followed by a 3-3 draw away at Ipswich FC and a 0-0 draw at home to North Star FC. Capalaba are a pragmatic outfit, the boss sets them up to be rigidly reactive to their opponents, but they tend to play direct football and often look to hurt sides from wide areas and set pieces.
Luke DeVere's Holland Park Hawks have a very different approach to the game, they like to play a 4-3-3, press high and play on the front foot. They've been more impressive on the road in the Queensland Premier League 2026 (W3, D2, L4) and they'll be keen to prove they can perform when they travel to Capalaba.
Hawks have the edge
Holland Park Hawks have the momentum and the class to take all three points on Sunday and the odds of 1.75 look about right for the visitors. Capalaba's home form in the Queensland Premier League 2026 (W1, L8) is awful and they're conceding at a rate of 3.11 goals per game on average at their own ground. The Hawks are stronger on the counter, but they're a match for any side when they can dictate the tempo and it will be interesting to see how Capalaba react to their high press in the early exchanges.
Backing a Holland Park Hawks win is the top choice, but Capalaba will get chances to hurt the visitors from set pieces and corners and this could be a touch closer than the odds suggest. Holland Park Hawks sit 8th in the table with 24 points from 18 games, Capalaba are 12th with just eight points from the same 18 games.
Both Teams To Score Yes and Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.3 for this fixture and we like it to be a bit of an affair.
