- Juventus have won 3 of their last 5 games, beating Frosinone and AC Parma in Serie A 2026/2027 and drawing 1-1 with AC Milan in their only other match to date.
- Atalanta have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches but come into this fixture on the back of a 2-match losing streak after defeats to AS Roma and Cagliari.
Juventus are more likely to win
La Vecchia Signora are the superior team and it shows in their odds of 1.63 ahead of Atalanta's 5.1. However, the draw at 3.85 has a place as an option for this matchup at Allianz Stadium, Italy due to Maurizio Sarri's plans to reset Atalanta's style and Juventus' recent struggles against them.
Atalanta's head-to-head record with Juventus is 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their 3 meetings to date, with the away side coming away with a 1-0 win in the last matchup in Serie A 2025/2026. The home and away sides have won once each and drawn once in their last 3 meetings, with Juventus placed 8th on 7 points and Atalanta 10th on 6 points.
La Dea in the midst of a style change
Sarri is clearly attempting to put more structure into this Atalanta side and it looks like his preferred 4-3-3 will be a more organised zonal shape rather than the high-octane chaos that Gian Piero Gasperini's men used to produce.
Ederson top scores in Serie A 2026/2027 for Atalanta with 1 goal in 4 games and Gianluca Scamacca has scored 2 goals. Juventus' Federico Gatti is Juventus' top scorer in Serie A 2026/2027 with 1 goal in 1 game. This gives the hosts a much-needed outfield set-piece threat with their defence looking strong.
Stick with Juventus
Juventus have a good home edge over Atalanta in Serie A 2026/2027, with 1 win and 1 draw from 2 matches. Atalanta have yet to win away from home in Serie A 2026/2027, losing 1 of their 1 matchup so far and conceding 2.00 goals per away matchup.
Atalanta will have to play a different game to the one that they have been used to and I believe Juventus' possession-heavy, overload-based style should suit them more this weekend. Sarri's men will try to keep the ball and avoid being picked apart in transition, but it's unlikely that they can prevent Juventus from scoring on their own.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.7 and both teams to score at 1.7 look good to me as the outcome of this contest, but I'll stick with Juventus to nick it as the game has every chance of being close given La Vecchia Signora's recent struggles against Atalanta.
