- AC Milan are unbeaten in five matches across all competitions (W3, D2), with three wins and two draws.
- Lecce have won two and lost three of their last five matches in all competitions (D0).
- The Rossoneri are unbeaten in their last five meetings with the Giallorossi, winning five.
Rossoneri look too good for Giallorossi
AC Milan are the clear favourites for this weekend's Serie A 2026/2027 clash with Lecce at 1.29, and it's easy to see why. The Rossoneri have won all five of the last five match-ups between these two clubs and have started the current campaign in solid fashion, earning eight points from their four Serie A 2026/2027 matches to sit fifth in the table.
Ruben Amorim has quickly installed his back-three, high-tempo identity at San Siro, where Milan have won their only home match of the season, conceding no goals. The home side have also recorded 1-1 and 2-2 draws at Juventus and Lazio respectively in Serie A 2026/2027, so it's fair to say that they have been a tough nut to crack.
Lecce arrive at San Siro after a 4-0 home defeat to Roma, a 1-0 defeat to Cagliari and a 3-2 win over Monza in Serie A 2026/2027, giving them a slightly patchy record of six points from four games and 12th place in the early table.
Lecce will look to cause problems from the wings
Eusebio Di Francesco has his team playing in a compact and possession-based style and the Giallorossi will certainly arrive at the San Siro looking to make the game tight. But their main attacking threat remains on the wings, with Lassana Coulibaly leading the line in attack after two goals in four Serie A 2026/2027 appearances, and Danilo Veiga bringing creativity from the wide areas with two assists in the same number of games.
Lecce's back-four will aim to keep Milan at bay by controlling the central areas, but will look to release the ball to wide runners in an attempt to catch the back three out of position, while the Giallorossi will also seek to counter-attack with pace in numbers. Milan's back-three will be out to hunt for turnovers and press forward, and they should be able to exploit any space in behind Lecce's wide players.
Backing both teams to score is not the play
Lecce may have won one and lost one of their two away games in Serie A 2026/2027 but the Giallorossi are a 9.5 underdog for this game at Milan and the draw is available at 5.0, making the odds about right for the hosts.
Lecce may have only scored an average of 1.00 goals per game on their travels this season, but Milan are clearly the classier team and should win this game even if it remains close. But there is a clever alternative to backing a Rossoneri victory, and that's Both Teams To Score: No at 1.65. Milan are yet to concede in a single home match in Serie A 2026/2027 and they kept Lecce to zero goals when they met seven months ago in Serie A 2025/2026.
