- Monza have won three of their last five head-to-head matches with Sassuolo (D2, L0).
- Sassuolo have failed to win any of their last three away games to Monza.
- Monza average 2.00 goals scored and 3.00 goals conceded per home game in Serie A 2026/2027.
Head-to-head suggests Sassuolo can’t be trusted
Sassuolo are winless in their two Serie A 2026/2027 away games (D1, L1), but the Neroverdi are fancied to turn the tables on Friday when they travel to Stadio Brianteo to face an SSD Monza 1912 team that have failed to get off the mark in their only home game in the new season (W0, D0, L1).
Sassuolo are tenth in Serie A 2026/2027 with four points from a possible nine, but that represents a much steadier start to the campaign than hosts Monza who are already in hot water in 18th place with just a single point on the board after three games.
The last five matches between these clubs have seen three wins for Monza and two draws, and considering Sassuolo are also winless in their last three Serie A visits to Monza, backing the Neroverdi at 2.46 makes little appeal here, particularly when comparing that to the odds on Monza at 2.72 and the draw at 3.35.
Midfield control could be key
Sassuolo have been a much better side in these early stages, however, with three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five in all competitions. Alberto Aquilani has set his side up with a patient, possession-based structure that should see them control the midfield areas and make the most of the wide areas, while Ivan Juric's back-three structure and man-oriented press is more all-action.
The visitors have been scoring an average of 1.50 goals per game in Serie A 2026/2027 and have been shipping 2.00 per-match at the other end, while Monza have been conceding an average of three per-match at home and scoring just two in return, so this looks a game where both teams to score at 1.7 will suffice the available data, but Over 2.5 goals at 1.9 seems the sharp angle.
Back the home team in Serie A?
Monza have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five in all competitions, with their most recent results seeing them lose 2-3 at home to Udinese in Serie A, win 1-0 away to Torino in the Coppa Italia, and draw 1-1 away at Parma in Serie A.
Their head-to-head record will give the Biancorossi confidence of pulling off a result against the Neroverdi, although Sassuolo's consistency should ensure that this will not be a stroll in the park. Sassuolo haven't been great in the early stages, but they look the more likely winner here.
Gustavo Varela is Monza's most trusted Serie A 2026/2027 goal-getter with two in two, while the ex-Fiorentina forward has also scored three of his team's last seven in all competitions. Ricardo Mangas has shown the best creativity in the final third, however, laying on two assists in three Serie A 2026/2027 matches and Sassuolo's sharpest finisher to date is Cas Odenthal, who has one goal in his only appearance this season.
