- Pafos are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 matches in all competitions (W3, D1, L1).
- Hajduk are winless in 5 away matches in all competitions (D3, L2).
- Pafos average 1.60 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per home match in all competitions.
Goals are likely
Pafos FC are the odds on favourites for the 2nd leg of this UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026 tie at 1.72, but a 2-0 victory for Hajduk Split in the first game means that the visitors are very much in the picture at 4.28, with the draw at 3.9.
The odds look about right for the hosts to progress, but it could be a cagey affair for the Croatians. Pafos have shown themselves to be a decent outfit at home, but Hajduk's first-leg lead makes them the more likely team to play with a bit more freedom.
On the face of it, Hajduk have identical recent form, but Pafos are in decent nick as well, so this could be a hard-fought battle at the Alphamega Stadium in Cyprus.
Hajduk can make a scrap
Pafos are currently 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats across their last 10 in all competitions, while Hajduk are the same. But the Croatian side look the more able to make a match of this one.
Pafos come into the game following a 2-0 away win against Apollon Limmassol in the Cyprus Cup and a 2-0 away defeat to Hajduk in the UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026, while the visitors have just 2 wins and 1 defeat from their last 3, which was a 2-0 home win over MSK Zilina, a 2-1 defeat to the same side away and a 2-0 home victory over Pafos.
Ricardo Sa Pinto was appointed Pafos manager on 29th April 2026 and has instilled a system that is tight and compact, while Gonzalo Garcia has overseen a proactive, high-tempo style since taking the Hajduk helm on 1st July 2025.
Both teams usually play 4-2-3-1, but where Garcia sets his team up to flood the flanks and drive high-tempo vertical passing, Pinto opts for a much deeper and more contained approach. This should make Hajduk the more proactive side, with Pafos looking to jam the centre of the pitch and counter.
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck, who has scored 1 goal in 3 games, leads Hajduk's scoring in the competition, so he will be the player to watch from the back line for the Croatian club.
Backing Over 2.5 goals at 1.78 and Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.75 looks the way to go for this clash.
Pafos have won 3 and drawn 1 of their last 5 home games in all competitions, while Hajduk are without a win in 5 on the road. There is a good case for the home side to bounce back in this clash, but Hajduk's win in the 1st leg should ensure that this remains a tight and tense affair, so back the goals rather than the result.
