- Freiburg have won the last 3 H2H meetings, including a 1-0 Bundesliga win at home to Bremen 6 months ago.
- At 1.97, Freiburg are odds-on favourite with Werder Bremen 3.6 and the draw 3.55.
- Freiburg's last 10: W6, D1, L3, while Bremen's last 10: W5, D1, L4.
Freiburg have a home advantage against Bremen
With their new manager, Daniel Thioune, Werder Bremen are running at a much higher tempo than they did last season and their high-intensity pressing and sharp transitions on the break are clearly paying dividends as the Green-Whites have 3 wins in their last 5.
However, they couldn't take any advantage from their home advantage over A.J. Auxerre last time out, losing 0-1 in a game where they were outclassed by the French outfit. A similar level of performance won't be enough to take anything from this game against Freiburg, who are much higher calibre in terms of their structure and structure.
Julian Schuster has clearly drilled his team well and they are able to keep their compact, narrow shape for most of the game while their more sophisticated positional play makes them very dangerous when they do advance with the ball.
Bremen can keep it close
Freiburg will try to stifle Bremen through the middle of the park where their selective pressing should force the visitors into wide areas where the home side can get men behind the ball and make it difficult for Bremen to play forward.
The bookmakers have Freiburg as odds-on for this one and while that makes sense given the respective runs of form, we feel they are a bit low at 1.97 and are happy to take the 3.6 on the visitors.
Bremen haven't won either of their last 2 away games against Freiburg and it's hard to see that changing here, but we do think they can keep it tight enough to make it interesting. Over 2.5 goals at 1.73 + BTTS Yes at 1.62 could be an option for those looking for a wager with bigger returns.
Freiburg have won their last 3 games - beating Crystal Palace 3-0 after extra-time at home and Motherwell 3-1 in Scotland - and across all current competitions, they have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their 6 home matches, scoring 2.17 goals per game while conceding 1.00.
Lucas Hoeler is Freiburg's danger man, scoring 3 of their 7 goals in the last 5 matches, while Bremen have won 3 of their 4 away games across all competitions, losing 1. Bremen have scored 13 times in those 4 away matches and if they can match Freiburg's first wave of pressure and break fast, they can give their opponents plenty to think about on Sunday.
