- Sevilla FC have failed to win any of their last 3 visits to Real Madrid.
- Los Blancos have won five straight head-to-head meetings with Sevilla FC, including a 1-0 away win in LaLiga 2025/2026.
- Real Madrid are unbeaten at home in LaLiga 2026/2027, winning 4/4 and conceding just 0.50 goals per-match on average.
Real Madrid have the edge
Real Madrid are the obvious 1.23 favourites to see off Sevilla FC at Estadio Bernabeu on Sunday, but Los Nervionenses are priced at a very generous 9.5 at the time of writing, while the draw is going for 5.9.
The heavy odds for the hosts are understandable, as Real Madrid have won four and lost one of their last five matches across all competitions, but Sevilla FC have travelled well in this LaLiga 2026/2027 campaign and have won two and drawn one of their three away games (W2, D1), averaging 1.67 goals on the road.
Los Blancos are solid, but not invincible
Kylian Mbappé's addition is clearly the difference between these two sides in this phase of their respective evolutions and the Frenchman is currently top of the LaLiga 2026/2027 scoring charts with seven goals in seven games.
Mbappé has also scored four of Real Madrid's last ten goals, in his team's last five, so the visitors will need to find a way to keep him quiet if they want to claim a result against José Mourinho's Los Blancos.
José Mourinho has Real Madrid set up in a compact 4-2-3-1, which dominates the ball out of possession and punches when space is made. Luis García Plaza has Sevilla FC organized in a 4-2-3-1, or 4-3-3 in possession, which is based on a tight middle block and triggers for counters.
Sevilla can keep it tight
This game has top-five tension early in the campaign, with Real Madrid 4th with 18 points from eight matches and Sevilla FC 5th with 13 from seven.
Two straight defeats have Sevilla FC arriving under some pressure, but they should still keep this contest competitive for long enough that Real Madrid's attacking power can take hold.
With that considered, over 2.5 goals looks the sharper bet at 1.36, while Both Teams To Score at 1.7 also fits the attacking profiles of both sides.
