- Mainz unbeaten in 2, have 7 points from 4 Bundesliga 2026/2027 games
- Leverkusen winless away in Bundesliga 2026/2027 after 2 games (1 draw, 1 defeat)
- Mainz's Phillip Tietz has 4 goals in 4 Bundesliga 2026/2027 games, scored 4 of Mainz's last 13 in their last 5 games
Mainz and Leverkusen share 7 points from 4 games
1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen both arrive at MEWA Arena on Saturday with identical points tallies of seven from four games. Sixth and fifth placed in the Bundesliga 2026/2027 table, the teams look quite even with a top-half title race looking likely at this stage of the season. Mainz are unbeaten in two, while Leverkusen are also on a two-game win streak ahead of the contest. Urs Fischer has set the Nullfünfer up in a compact 3-5-2, relying on their ability to defend in a midblock, win the second balls and transition forward quickly. Carles Martinez has been trying to get Leverkusen playing a more refined positional-possession style of football with some tempo, wing-back width and lots of counter-pressing. It hasn't worked yet.
Back over 2.5 goals for a lively match
Mainz have suffered a home defeat and a draw in their two Bundesliga 2026/2027 fixtures at MEWA Arena. They were well beaten by Eintracht Frankfurt in their previous home fixture in the league (1-3), but answered that with an away 3-4 win over Borussia Monchengladbach.
Leverkusen come into the game with two consecutive 2-0 wins, over NK Celje in UEFA Europa League 2026/2027 and RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga 2026/2027. But they are winless on the road in the Bundesliga 2026/2027.
Leverkusen are the slight odds-on favourites at 31/25 here with Mainz at 91/50 and the draw at 11/4. We don't think this will be a runaway for either side, although the visitors have the slight edge on the day.
Over 2.5 goals at 9/20 looks a good proposition, while both teams to score at 2/5 also fits the way both attacks have been operating.
Tietz the talisman for Mainz
Phillip Tietz has been Mainz's key man in the final third, scoring 4 of his team's 13 goals in the last five games. He's got four of the team's last 13 in the last five games, making him the top pick for an anytime goal on Saturday.
Leverkusen's main finisher, Patrik Schick, has matched that output with 4 Bundesliga 2026/2027 goals in 4 matches.
Sheraldo Becker has been a constant provider to the front two for Mainz, registering 3 assists in 4 games in the Bundesliga 2026/2027. Miguel Gutierrez has been a creative hub in the centre of the field, also recording 3 assists in 4.
