- The Viola are unbeaten in five matches in all competitions at home with two wins and three draws and have conceded just three times in that run.
- The giallazzurri have won two of their two away matches in all competitions, conceding just 0.50 goals per game on average.
The Viola can take the points
Fiorentina are clear favourites to beat Frosinone at Artemio Franchi on Saturday, which is no surprise given that the hosts are unbeaten in their last five at home. Viola come into this match coming off a strong 2-2 draw away to Real Madrid and a disappointing 1-1 draw at home to Deportivo A Coruna before beating Benevento 4-1 at the weekend in the Coppa Italia 2026/2027.
Fiorentina are well set to avoid defeat after that win, although four wins, four draws and two defeats across the 10 games in all competitions to date is still not a perfect record.
Frosinone enter in slightly better form with six wins, three draws and just one defeat across the same number of games, but a 2-2 draw at home to Benevento and a 2-1 defeat to SS Lazio are still hanging over the team after a 4-1 victory over Juve Stabia in the cup last time out.
Frosinone have a solid away record
This game features a clash of styles with Fabio Grosso preferring Fiorentina to control possession and attack wide, playing with a higher tempo and pressing higher up the pitch in a 4-3-3 system.
Massimiliano Alvini has set up Frosinone to be more pragmatic, although the two systems are similar with 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 shapes with an emphasis on pressing and getting players to pounce on turnovers and counterattack.
Frosinone have had a much better record on the road across all competitions and can make a game of this fixture against a team that they have never beaten away to. Fiorentina are 1/2 for a home win here and that is far too short, with the draw at 13/4 also offering little value.
The visitors are rated at 19/4 and that is a good price given they are playing well and have the pressing game to make this a frantic affair, but Fiorentina should have the quality to edge it.
Over 2.5 goals at 4/5 looks a live angle given the set up of both teams. A 2-1 home win is the correct score prediction in this instance. Fiorentina have one win and one draw in the last two Serie A head-to-heads and they won 5-1 at Artemio Franchi in 2023/2024.
