- Arsenal have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five matches in all competitions, winning their last three.
- Chelsea have won four of their last five and each of their last four.
- Arsenal are unbeaten in their only home game in the Premier League 2026/2027, winning and conceding zero.
System vs system - Arsenal at home
This fixture looks to be a clash of two highly structured systems in the Emirates Stadium, with Arsenal's possession-first, high-press, possession-first, positional play, set-piece routines, and aggressive pressing up against Chelsea's control, width and vertical transitions blueprint. Mikel Arteta has the Gunners playing some excellent football and Ben White has added a creative spark from the back with an assist in one Premier League 2026/2027 game, while Bukayo Saka leads the way in the goalscoring charts with one goal in the top flight.
Xabi Alonso has Chelsea set up to control the ball in midfield, provide width through their wing-backs and quick vertical transitions with a composed pressing structure. Cole Palmer has hit the ground running in the Premier League 2026/2027 season, topping the scoring charts with two goals in two games, he is the Blues' biggest threat between the lines and should be well watched on Sunday. Joao Pedro has scored five in the last five, fuelling a Chelsea side who have scored 13 goals in total across that run.
The head-to-head and form
Arsenal head into the match as favourites at 33/50, with Chelsea priced up at 41/10 and the draw at 27/10. The Gunners have the quality and home advantage to secure the win, but Chelsea's form, and the fact they have scored three goals in their sole away game this season, makes this game a lot more live than the bookmakers suggest.
The head-to-head favours Arsenal, who have won four of the last five and drawn the other. Chelsea haven't won at the Emirates in their last three attempts. Arsenal have three points from one game in the Premier League 2026/2027, sitting in ninth, while Chelsea have six from two in third. The hosts have won and conceded zero in their only game at home, while Chelsea have one win in one away. Arsenal's home steel and the recent head-to-head means a home win is likely, but Chelsea's recent form means we're covering all bases in this one.
Both teams to score is a decent price at 77/100, but Over 2.5 goals at 83/100 looks good as both teams are sharp and have shown some attacking edge in the early going. A narrow Gunners win looks on the cards, but don't be surprised if Chelsea nick a result given their incredible away form this season.
