- Newcastle are winless in 3 home games against Bournemouth.
- Newcastle average 2.00 goals per game and concede 2.00 at home in the Premier League 2026-2027.
St James’ Park to play host to another tight contest
Newcastle have made a slow start to their Premier League 2026-2027 campaign, picking up just 1 point from 1 game to sit 11th in the table. Bournemouth are just below them in 13th with 0 points from 1 game.
The Magpies have been in inconsistent form recently, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5. Their recent 2 results have shown fight, however, drawing 2-2 at home to Liverpool in the league and beating West Bromwich 3-2 in the EFL Cup 2026/2027.
Bournemouth have been equally as inconsistent this season, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5. Their form is slightly worse, however, as they come into this game on the back of a 2-game losing streak.
This should be a press vs press affair, with Newcastle employing a compact, vertical and counter-pressing game plan under Matthias Jaissle and Bournemouth favouring an intense pressing game, fast vertical progression and wide overloads under Marco Rose. The winner of the second balls could be the winner of the game.
This looks like a tight game on paper, but the odds are skewed in favour of Newcastle at 32/25 vs Bournemouth at 46/25. The draw is also favoured at 13/5, suggesting that the Cherries could nick a result here, as they have in their last 5 meetings against the Magpies.
The visitors are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings with Newcastle, with 2 wins and 3 draws. They won 2-1 in this fixture 4 months ago in the Premier League 2025/2026, but Newcastle are undefeated in their 1 home game in the Premier League 2026-2027. This is why I think the best way to get value out of this game is to go for the goals.
Over 2.5 at 3/5 and BTTS - Yes at 12/25 look the best bets for this one.
Anthony Elanga leads the scoring charts for Newcastle with 1 goal in 1 game in the Premier League 2026/2027, with William Osula providing 1 assist in 1 game and Harvey Barnes providing 3 of the 8 goals they have scored in their last 5 matches. Marcus Tavernier leads the way for Bournemouth with 1 goal in 1 appearance in the Premier League 2026/2027, whilst Evanilson has provided 1 assist in 1 appearance to keep the attack ticking over.
