- Ayr United have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five matches.
- Greenock Morton have lost five straight matches.
- Dean Black is the top scorer in the Championship 2026/2027 for Greenock Morton with one goal in three appearances, while Michael Garrity has provided one assist in three games.
Ton have toned down their approach
Ayr are the 3/5 favourites to see off a woeful Greenock Morton side on Saturday but the 201/50 for the visitors to take all three points and the 66/25 on the draw still seems a tad short. Gary Naysmith has set his team up in a compact 4-2-3-1 and they have been sitting deep, hunting counter-attacking chances and set pieces for the most part. But Ian Murray's Morton have been playing a more proactive, possession-based 4-2-3-1, pressing higher and moving the ball quicker in the Championship 2026/2027.
The Ton have been playing a 4-2-3-1 system but with a more proactive approach, pressing higher and playing the ball quicker. The result has been a 2-0 loss to Stenhousemuir in their away game and a 2-1 defeat to Arbroath at home. However, these are two clubs that, while the Ton have been on a losing streak, will be looking to turn the tide against a team they beat five months ago in the Championship 2025/2026.
Ayr can edge this out
Ayr have lost their second game on the spin following a 2-0 Championship defeat at Raith Rovers earlier today and will be disappointed not to take anything from that one following a 1-1 draw away to Dunfermline on opening day. They have won once at home in the league with their goals tally averaging 2.00 at Somerset Park and none conceded.
Morton have lost their only away game in the Championship 2026/2027 and shipped two goals. The head-to-head record is quite tight with Ayr winning one, Morton two and two draws in their last five meetings. However, the home side will be most likely to come out on top in this clash and we are recommending the draw no bet market here.
Morton know how to make a game like this tough
A practical alternative is to go BTTS: No at 77/100 as Ayr have kept one clean sheet in one home game. That said, Ayr's home form still looks a little short and if Morton can keep it tight it could be a scrappy affair with the teams cancelling each other out.
This matchup should be a bit of a chess match with Morton trying to control the tempo and Ayr looking to sting them on the break. New signing Kenzie Mitchell has given Ayr a little more bite in transition with an assist in his two games this term, which should make this a much tougher encounter for the home team.