- Raith Rovers won 3 and drew 1 of their last 5 matches.
- Dunfermline have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 games.
- Both teams to Score - Yes looks a good play as both sides are set up to excel on the transitions.
Lennon’s solid structure has Dunfermline stuck in 8th
Dunfermline have had a disappointing start to the Championship 2026-2027, sitting 8th after taking just 2 points from their opening 3 games. Neil Lennon took the reigns as head coach on 21st March 2025 and has set the Pars up in a disciplined, compact shape that has been difficult to break down, but they lack sharpness at the front end.
Dunfermline's last 3 matches has seen them draw 1-1 at home to Ayr United in the Championship 2026/2027, lose 1-2 at home to Ross County in the League Cup 2026 and lose 2-0 away to Livingston in the Championship 2026/2027. The Pars are a back three side with wing backs who like to keep their lines compact and press in an organised manner, making games tend to get scrappy.
Shea Kearney has brought a bit of creativity to the side with 1 assist in his 2 Championship 2026/2027 games but Andy Tod remains the main goal threat with 1 goal in 3. Lennon's men have scored just 1 goal per-game at home in the Championship 2026/2027 and look likely to be put under the cosh here.
Dowds’ goals have Rovers high flying in 2nd
Dougie Imrie has had Raith Rovers playing his high-energy press since taking charge on 25th November 2025 and his side have been flying in the Championship 2026-2027 so far. The Rovers have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 competitive matches and enter this game on the back of a 2 game winning streak.
Raith's last 2 games have seen them beat Queen's Park 2-1 away in the Championship 2026/2027 and Ayr United 2-0 at home in the Championship 2026/2027. Imrie's Rovers have been perfect away from home in the Championship 2026/2027 thus far (W1 from 1), scoring 2.00 goals per-game in the process.
Anton Dowds is Raith's danger man, having scored 3 Championship 2026/2027 goals in 3 matches. 3 of Rovers' 7 goals across their last 5 came via Dowds, so he is carrying the goal threat for Imrie's side who are narrow 4-3-2-1/4-midfield pressing sides that try to win the ball back in the opponent's half and burst forward in transition.
A tight fixture, but Rovers likely to pinch it
The numbers lead us to believe that this will be a close game, with the teams evenly matched and playing in a different style at opposite ends of the scale. Dunfermline are the home side and Raith Rovers come into this game in far better form and with the higher league position, so the Rovers seem the more likely winner.
Raith Rovers are 143/100 favourites for this one with Dunfermline coming in just below them at 161/100, with the draw priced at 109/50. Both teams to Score - Yes at 77/100 seems a very sharp price considering both sides are built to excel on the counter and apply pressure, so we're taking that as our main selection.
