- Burton Albion are unbeaten in their last 5 games against Mansfield Town (W2, D3).
- Burton are unbeaten at home in League One 2026/2027 (W1, D2).
- Mansfield Town are yet to win on the road in League One 2026/2027 (L3 from 3).
Saviours are in the driving seat
The Brewers are running at 73/50 to take the spoils on Saturday against their Stags rivals at the Pirelli Stadium, but there's a great deal of value in backing Burton or draw in this fixture.
It's a close-run fixture, but the Brewers are a bit further ahead in the standings as Burton sit sixth to the Stags' 17th position after the opening 5 games of the season.
Brewers boss Gary Bowyer has got his men organised in a back three system with wing-backs to stretch the field and give them a platform in transition. This could make the Stags' system of two banks of four a bit of a chess match and Burton's second balls and transition play will probably decide the game.
Mansfield have lost their last 2 fixtures on the bounce, going down 5-0 at Reading before suffering a 1-0 defeat at Bradford City, so they are without a goal and have lost the momentum they had created.
Mansfield’s manager has to be careful
It's a big call to go for an away win on Saturday and Nigel Clough's team do not look to have the cutting edge to get past the hosts. There's a smart angle on Burton or draw here and it looks like the best bet because it allows for Mansfield to get a point if they can sit in and make it hard for Burton.
The draw is 5/2 here and there's an element of the odds-on nature of the hosts coming off the fact that the Brewers are yet to lose at home, but Mansfield are also yet to pick up an away point and Burton are unscathed in the last 5 head-to-heads.
The 31/50 about both teams to score looks live as well, although that can only be taken if Burton or draw is also the main bet. The visitors will have a decent chance to score at least once from set-piece play.
Brewers have an edge
Burton's wing-back overloads against Mansfield's two banks of four should make this a chess match, but the home team have a psychological edge as they are also unbeaten in the visitors' last 3 games at the Pirelli.
Burton have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 in their last 5 in all competitions and they're looking solid, so it's hard to see the onus of victory being on the away side, even though they are playing better football.
Bowyer's Brewers battered AFC Wimbledon 4-1 in their most recent home game and then shared a 2-2 draw with Cambridge United, so the attack is buzzing, but the back line is still conceding too many chances.
Finn Delap remains the main goal threat for Burton with 2 in 5 this season while Kyran Lofthouse has been a real spark from the wing-back position with 3 assists in 5 games.
Jonathan Russell has been Mansfield's main man in League One 2026/2027 with 2 goals in 3 games and Nathan Moriah-Welsh has chipped in with another 2 in the team's last 5 matches, but the club still lack an end-product to convert the chances into goals and points.
