- Celta have won 5, drawn 5 and lost 7 of 17 home fixtures in LaLiga 2025/2026, scoring 26 goals at Balaídos (1.53 per game).
- Levante have won only 3 of their 17 away fixtures in the league, drawing 4 and losing 10, and have conceded 29 goals away from home (1.71 per game).
Celta have the quality to dominate LaLiga’s Little Derby
Celta de Vigo are 6th in LaLiga 2025/2026 after collecting 47 points from their first 34 matches of the campaign while Levante occupy 19th spot and are fighting hard for their lives with only 33 points collected.
The home side have been in relatively solid form in the league overall but have been a little inconsistent in their last 5 games, winning once and losing 4. They bounced back with a 3-1 home win over Elche in their latest outing, however, and should be well-prepared for this midweek clash.
Claudio Giráldez has been at the helm since March 2024 and has instilled a more proactive, possession-based ethos onto the team from his predecessors. Celta’s 5-3-2 system is fluid and morphs into a 3-4-3 when they have the ball with the team playing a dual-paced, shape-shifting build-up with selective pressing to control the rhythm of the game and overloading the central areas to break the lines.
Borja Iglesias is the talisman with 13 goals in 31 appearances this season, while Iago Aspas brings creativity and experience. Opponents will have to cope with both of these as well as Sergio Lozano, who brings a bit of bite to the midfield with his tenacity and ability to win the ball back and start transitions and set-piece opportunities.
Levante’s survival is still the priority
Luis Castro has been trying to make the Valencia club compact and pragmatic since taking over in December 2025 with his 4-4-2 system trying to be as frustrating as possible for opponents while still trying to exploit chances on the break.
On the road, they will set up in a narrow mid-block with a lot of the play coming through Carlos Espi who has 9 goals in 21 league appearances, 2 of them in his last 5, and remains their biggest threat. His ability to play as a focal point when Levante are under pressure and provide an outlet when they win the ball in midfield makes him their most important player.
Levante have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, but they were beaten 5-1 by Villarreal in their most recent away fixture. This is a massive game for both teams with Celta aiming for Europe and Levante for survival and it’s hard to see the visitors coming away with anything.
Celta are the better side and they have a lot more depth in attack, which could be decisive at Balaídos. The odds on the home team are tight enough to recommend but we’re going to take the Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score - Yes at 17/20 and 71/100 respectively as this should be an open contest with the more positive team coming out on top.
Celta de Vigo 2-1 Levante is the correct score forecast as the hosts won 2-1 when they visited Levante earlier in this campaign to confirm their superiority in the Little Derby of LaLiga 2025/2026.
