- CF Montreal have won two of their last five games (Drawn two, lost one).
- Toronto FC have lost four of their last five, winning none.
- CF Montreal's Prince Osei Owusu is CF Montreal's top scorer with nine goals in 14 games and has four in the last five.
Home comforts can help CF Montreal win
CF Montreal and Toronto FC go head-to-head in the Canadian Classique on Thursday with bragging rights and the momentum of the season at stake. Both teams have endured poor campaigns in MLS 2026 so far and are currently placed 24th and 26th in the table respectively with 14 points from 14 games apiece.
This match looks like a game for Montreal to win based on the form guide as the home side have been the more competitive of the two during the past few weeks. Philippe Eullaffroy has made his side a little more compact and better at catching opponents off guard by sitting deep and setting up in a more trap-based style.
CF Montreal have scored 1.67 and conceded 1.17 goals in MLS 2026 at home while Toronto FC have shipped 11 goals in five road fixtures in the MLS 2026 campaign to date.
Derby day can be a scrappy affair
The odds make CF Montreal the favourites at 26/25 compared with 63/25 for Toronto FC and that seems about right for a game that looks like being close and scrappy with the draw priced at 29/10. Montreal have failed to win their last two games at home against TFC, but have three wins, one draw and two defeats from six home games in total in MLS 2026.
Toronto FC's away form has been worse with just one win and four losses from their five road trips in MLS 2026 and they come into this clash on the back of a four-match losing run. Their two most recent games saw them play with spirit, but that was followed by back-to-back away losses to Charlotte and Chicago Fire.
Expect plenty of action in a tight game
Toronto have a structured and disciplined approach under coach Robin Fraser, who sets up in a 4-2-3-1, and that should lead to a clash of styles between Montreal's transition punch and the Reds' ability to control possession and keep shape. Toronto's best goalscorer Daniel Salloi has four goals in 14 MLS 2026 games, while Emilio Aristizabal has two in the past five. The hosts' Prince Osei Owusu is leading his team in MLS 2026 with nine in 14 and has added four in his last five to make him the main danger man in this one. Over 2.5 goals at 13/20 looks a solid match bet based on the players on show and Toronto's away defensive record, although both teams to score looks better at 13/25 based on the teams' overall numbers. Toronto have one win and one draw from their past two head-to-head meetings with Montreal, who have failed to take the scalp of TFC in their past two attempts at Saputo Stadium.
