- Cruz Azul have won four of the last five head-to-head fixtures in Liga MX 2025/2026 (Drawn 1).
- Cruz Azul have been unbeaten in their last five home games in all competitions (Won 2, Drawn 3).
- Cruz Azul have scored nine goals in their last five home matches.
Cruz Azul have Puebla’s number
Cruz Azul come into this Wednesday's Mexico City Stadium fixture as the clear favourites at 17/50, with the visitors priced at 73/10 and the draw at 19/5. The odds on the home side make a lot of sense given the teams' recent history in Liga MX where Cruz Azul have owned this matchup, winning four of the last five head-to-heads and drawing once. Cruz Azul won 1-0 when these two sides last met at this ground five months ago and Puebla have failed to win either of their two previous away trips to the capital club's home ground.
Back the hosts to win with both teams to score
Cruz Azul are also in sharp form and unbeaten in their last ten matches in all competitions, although they have only won five of those games. They have drawn five of those ten matches.
Puebla are having a rough patch in all competitions with only two wins and six defeats in their last 10 fixtures. They have lost four of their last five with four straight defeats overall, a 2-1 loss at Monterrey and a 1-2 home defeat to Querétaro on Sunday.
The visitors are trying to change their style of play under Albert Espigares, who wants the team to press more and make vertical runs, but they look vulnerable when they are forced to defend deep. Joel Huiqui has his men playing a possession-first game with the wing-backs stretching the pitch and a compact press when the trigger is pulled.
Champions’ control should win the day
Cruz Azul should have a bit more of the ball and will control the rhythm of the game with their style, which means Puebla will be hunting for turnovers. The champions should come through with a moderate margin, but the short odds on a home win mean that backing the hosts to prevail with both teams to score looks the sharp alternative in case Puebla can nick a transition chance. Cruz Azul are a quality team and should win, but this will not be a cagey fixture as the bookies think with the value in the Over 2.5 goals market at 59/100. Christian Ebere has been their spark, scoring three of their nine goals in their last five.
