- Toluca's home record in Liga MX 2026/2027 is 1 win and 1 loss from 2 matches.
- Juárez's away record in Liga MX 2026/2027 is 0 draws and 2 losses from 2 matches (7 goals conceded).
Toluca too canny for their visitors
Toluca are 3rd in Liga MX 2026/2027 on 10 points from 5 games, whilst Juárez are 18th on 0 points from 5. These two sides look like chalk and cheese on the field and the hosts will have to be careful not to underestimate their visitors this Monday.
Toluca are playing some good footy under Antonio Mohamed, who has been in charge since 16th December 2024. His team have the positional flexibility to play a 4-2-3-1 base that can stretch into a 3-4-3 on occasion and their footy is a mix of controlled possession and quick breaks into the opposing half. The Diablos have beaten FC Dallas 3-1 at home in the CONCACAF Leagues Cup 2026/2027, drawn 0-0 away at CF Atlante in Liga MX 2026/2027 and edged Gallos Blancos Queretaro 2-1 away in Liga MX 2026/2027 in their last 3 outings. That's 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in all competitions.
Pedro Caixinha has been in charge of Juárez since 4th December 2025 and his team have been more direct under his tutelage, often setting up in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 with the onus on transition footy. Juárez have been thumped 6-1 away by CF Rayados de Monterrey in Liga MX 2026/2027 and lost 2-1 at home to Club America in Liga MX 2026/2027 in their last 2 fixtures.
Home win on the horizon
Toluca are the clear favourites for this match, listed at 7/25, with Juárez at 38/5 and the draw at 47/10. Those odds look about right, and the visitors are an improving outfit who can certainly trouble their hosts.
However, Toluca have the better of the overall form, the home advantage and an even better of the head-to-head record. They're conceding an average of 1.50 goals per game on home soil in Liga MX 2026/2027, so they are certainly shipping chances in their home games.
The matchup of Toluca's controlled possession and transition game against Juárez's direct, transition style could suit the home team, unless the visitors can make this a scrappy and physical contest. Over 2.5 goals at 19/50 and both teams to score Yes at 7/10 are also the picks for this contest and both selections support the theory that Toluca will come out on top with Juárez scrapping to remain in the game.
Alexis Vega has 1 goal in 4 Liga MX 2026/2027 games to top score for the Diablos, whilst Federico Viñas has scored 3 of Toluca's last 8 goals in their last 5 outings. Oscar Estupiñán has 2 goals in 5 Liga MX 2026/2027 matches to lead the way for the Bravos and José Luis Rodríguez has 2 assists in that same run.
