- Arouca have won 3 of their last 5 fixtures, winning their last 3 in a row (3-1-1).
- Nacional are winless in 5 (0-0-5).
- Arouca have won all 4 of the previous H2H meetings (4 wins).
Aroquenses on a roll
On Sunday, FC Arouca are the 1/1 favourites for the win, while Nacional are listed at a very generous 287/100 and the draw is 133/50. That's too good to miss, as the hosts are on a winning streak and have dominated this fixture in recent years.
In the 8 months since these sides last faced off in the Primeira Liga 2025/2026 season, Nacional are yet to beat Arouca. In their most recent encounter, Arouca beat Nacional 3-0 at home, a result that has led to Nacional being winless in their last 2 visits to this ground.
Arouca have won 6 of their last 10 games in all competitions and have done so in their previous 3 in a row (1-0 W Estrela Amadora, 3-4 W (AET) CF Os Belenenses, 0-1 W FC Alverca). Nacional have won just 1 of their last 10 in all competitions and come into this one on a 5-game losing run.
Aroquenses to keep the momentum
Vitor Severino's side have looked compact, pragmatic and tough to break down in recent weeks, and they have finally started to score goals again. Arouca have scored 8 goals in their last 4 home games alone, and this will be music to the ears of the home fans.
João Gião's Nacional are a different proposition, setting up with a back three and wing-backs, designed to stretch the field and hit their opponents on the break. This will be an interesting tactical clash, as Arouca like to invite pressure and then hit their visitors on the counter-attack.
Ivan Barbero has been Arouca's sharp edge, netting 3 of their 8 goals in the last 5 fixtures. Njoya Kader has been Nacional's main threat, scoring 2 of their 3 in the same period.
Nacional have averaged just 0.67 goals per-game away from home in all current competitions, scoring just 4 on the road and failing to win any of their 6 games away from the Estádio da Madeira.
The Alvinegros have been hopeless of late, losing 0-4 at home to Famalicao, 3-2 away to Rio Ave and 1-0 at AD Sanjoanense in the cup. Arouca are on a great run of form and look the more likely to nick it at some point in the game, so the smart money is on an Arouca win.
