- The head-to-head record for the last 2 meetings: Braga = 1 win, draw = 1.
- Braga are clear favourites for this one, but Famalicao have a proven knack for nicking a result at Estadio Municipal de Braga.
Famalicao have a knack for getting a result at Braga
Braga are 16/25 favourites for Sunday's Primeira Liga clash with Famalicao, who are 43/10 and the draw is priced up at 53/20. The hosts are rightful favourites, however, the visitors are a hard nut to crack and have a habit of getting a result here, which is why we're taking the double chance.
Franclim Carvalho's side have been inconsistent of late, winning just 1 of their last 5 games and losing 4 times in that run, including an unexpected 1-0 defeat away at Nacional Madeira Funchal in the Primeira Liga. The run before that was no better, but it did include a 2-0 home victory over KAA Gent in the UEFA Conference League, and Braga's all-competitions record across their last 10 is 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats, which isn't good enough to be challenging for the title, but is good enough to stay in the frame.
Ricardo Silva's side make the trip to Estadio Municipal de Braga after a 0-4 away win at Rio Ave in the Primeira Liga, which was followed by a 1-0 defeat in the Taça de Portugal away at Uniao Sport Clube Paredes. Like Braga, Famalicao have also been inconsistent, with an all-competitions record of 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats across their last 10, so we're expecting a stubborn and cagey encounter between two evenly-matched clubs.
Braga vs Famalicao: a tactical chess match
Braga will attempt to control the pace of this game as much as possible, playing patient, possession-based football, creating small overloads and pressing only in controlled phases of the game, but Famalicao are a more compact and vertical side, and they will be hunting mistakes in transition and turning them into counter-attacking opportunities.
The hosts have won 3 and lost 2 of their 5 home games in all competitions, scoring 1.20 goals and conceding 1.00 per match, while Famalicao have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their 5 away games, conceding just 5 goals at a rate of 0.83 per match, which has to give hope to Silva's men.
The market reflects our thoughts on this game, with the Under 2.5 line coming in at 7/10, while Both Teams To Score is 1/1 for Yes, or 73/100 for the No. The odds for Braga are also fair enough, and the home advantage should give them the edge, but the head-to-head and recent form of the two clubs in this fixture suggests the gap will be a tight one, so we're going to recommend the under and the both teams to score options.
