- FC Porto are the 34th most successful side in the UEFA Champions League 2026/2027 so far with 0 points from three games, while Napoli are 22nd with three points.
- Napoli have only scored one goal in one UEFA Champions League 2026/2027 away game but have enough bite to nick the win on Wednesday.
- Porto have won three of their last five games, losing the other two, whereas Napoli have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five.
Porto vs Napoli will feature a clash of contrasting styles
Porto are a possession-based side, with a fast pace and good counter-pressing abilities when necessary, but Napoli are a different beast and won't allow them to play their game on Wednesday.
Napoli have a more pragmatic structure, where they sit compact, absorb pressure, and can punish opponents on the counterattack if they get the chance. This game should see a contrast of styles and Porto's attacking players will need to avoid mistakes that can be punished by the visitors.
Massimiliano Allegri's Napoli have produced a mixed bag of results in the last few weeks, but they have shown they are capable of getting the job done when it counts. Their most recent three games have been a 3-3 home draw with AS Roma in Serie A, a 4-1 away win at Monza in Serie A, and a 2-0 away defeat to Juventus in the same competition.
Napoli’s Scott McTominay to play in the hole
They have enough players who can create chances and score goals, with Scottish midfielder Scott McTominay having four goals in Napoli's last five matches.
Matteo Politano has been the provider though with three assists in their last five goalscoring games.
Porto are also blessed with some good players with Borja Sainz, who has three of their ten goals across the last five matches, their sharpest edge.
Napoli to nick the points at Estadio do Dragao
Francesco Farioli's men are in decent form, with one loss at home to PSV in the UEFA Champions League and two wins at Gil Vicente (0-1) and Estoril Praia (4-0) in the Primeira Liga. However, they are likely to struggle against a more compact Napoli side, which has just as much quality as Porto.
Porto's inability to score at home in the UEFA Champions League 2026/2027 doesn't bode well for them here and I'm taking the visitors at 51/20 to win. I'm also backing Both Teams to Score - No at 6/5 as Napoli can keep them quiet, but the Over 2.5 goals at 7/10 looks just as likely with plenty of action at both ends and a good chance of one-sided damage.
