- GNK Dinamo Zagreb are the clear favourites at 1/4, but FK Zalgiris Kaunas sit at 47/10 to cause a shock in the first leg.
- Zalgiris are in mixed form, but have scored eight goals in their last four home games in all competitions.
- Zagreb are on a roll, going eight wins and two draws in their last ten.
Zalgiris can be dangerous at home
FK Zalgiris' recent form is mixed but they've generally been competitive in games, going 5-3-2 across their last 10 matches in all competitions. Zalgiris made the better start in their tie when they drew 0-0 at KI Klaksvík, but were then beaten 5-0 by Dinamo in the reverse fixture. Zeljko Sopic's side have hit the ground running since he took charge on 29th June, 2026, trying to combine a pressing system with compact transitions when they win the ball back.
They play in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-1-2 shape and can be very dangerous when on the break, with Amine Benchaib their main spark in UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026, notching two in five. Their home record is two wins, one draw and one defeat across all competitions, so the Zalgiris team can be tricky opponents in Kaunas.
Dinamo can’t afford to let this game get away
GNK Dinamo Zagreb will be desperate not to let this one get away from them after thumping Zalgiris 5-0. Mario Kovacevic has his side in fine form, they beat NK Slaven Belupo 2-0 before putting five past Zalgiris to make it three straight wins. Dinamo have been very good in all competitions this season, going eight wins and two draws in their last 10. Dion Drena Beljo has been on fire for Dinamo, bagging three of their ten goals in their last five across all competitions, while Lukas Kacavenda has also been very sharp with two goals in three UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026 appearances.
Zagreb can win the match without breaking sweat
Zagreb are a good team and have been in exceptional form so far. This game could get a bit messy as the styles clash, with Dinamo liking to play from the back and win the ball quickly while Zalgiris like to press and hit quickly on the counter. Zagreb will try to smother their opponents and control the tempo, but Zalgiris could make them pay if they manage to get on the end of some fast breaks, so we think an away win is the best bet here, not a shootout.
Over 2.5 goals is 21/50 here, while Both Teams To Score - No is 49/50, which indicates that Zagreb should be able to win this one with ease and keep it tidy.
