- GNK Dinamo Zagreb are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions (7 wins, 3 draws).
- Dinamo are unbeaten in their last 4 home matches in all competitions (2 wins, 2 draws) and have been stingy at Maksimir.
- FC Thun have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 in all competitions, and they come to Croatia with question marks attached.
Dinamo doing the dancing, Thun hunting for the ball
This Champions League qualification tie is finely poised after the 1-1 draw in Thun, but Zagreb's 0-0 home draw with Lokomotiva before that means the Croatians have the wind in their sails for the return leg. Dinamo are 2/5 favourites to win this game with Thun 7/1 and the draw at 73/20 and that about sums up the task at hand for the Croatian hosts on Tuesday.
GNK Dinamo Zagreb are playing their best footy of the season and are 10 games unbeaten in all competitions, winning 7 of those. Mario Kovačević's team is set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with a good build-up structure, a great little creator and a real patience to control the tempo. Miha Zajc is Dinamo's spark, and he gives them a proper edge between the lines, which is crucial when trying to dominate a game.
Gian-Luca Privitelli's FC Thun set up in a 4-4-2 system with a direct attacking style built on wide running, long balls and second-ball aggression. Brighton Labeau is their live wire, but he's not as consistent as Zajc and has had less chance to impress so far. However, the return-leg could be a different matter.
Dinamo can edge out a narrow qualification
Thun are a good side, but they have a few too many questions around their game for us to confidently take them to progress. Dinamo have played better and have the home advantage, so they are the likelier winners here. The first leg was tight enough to keep the tie alive, but not so tight that Dinamo will be chasing a shootout on Tuesday.
Under 2.5 goals at 107/100 and BTTS-No at 3/4 both fit a tighter Dinamo-led script, as they will try to smother Thun's wing
play and wide breaks, and the Swiss will be hunting turnovers and aerial scraps. Dinamo average 1.50 goals scored
and 0.75 goals conceded per home match across all
competitions, so this looks
like a game
for patient, controlling and clean
sheet footy.
Thun average 0.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per away match across all competitions, so
they may
struggle to keep
this tie
alive
for too
long. Thun
have
taken
1 draw
and 2 defeats
from
their
last
3
away
matches
in
all
competitions
and it
is
hard
to see
them
improving
on that
in Croatia.
