- Luton Town are in fine form (W7, L3) while Forest Green Rovers have been less easy to beat (W3, D5, L2) in their last ten in all competitions.
- The Hatters have made Kenilworth Road a fortress in recent times, posting 4 wins and just 1 defeat from their last 5 games in all competitions on home soil.
Luton look to have the edge at home
Jack Wilshere has really got his players playing a patient 4-2-3-1 system with the best possible foundations, with clean build-up, overload in the half-spaces and a free No.10. There's no doubting that Luton are a much better side than the League Two side that they are right now and it's only a matter of time before they start picking up results against other Championship clubs.
The Hatters come into this one in fine fettle after a run of 7 wins and 3 defeats from their last 10 in all competitions. After beating Leicester City 2-1 here last weekend, they followed it up with a 3-1 victory over Doncaster Rovers and a 2-0 success away at Peterborough United. So Luton have won four of their last 5 matches in all competitions and look well placed to do some damage in FA Cup 2026-2027.
Daniel Connor has maintained the Greens' aggressive identity in the fourth tier, playing a pressing-first style that still looks to play on the front foot. Forest Green have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last 5, which is solid enough, but not exactly explosive.
Luton can win, but the Greens will give them a go
The odds of 3/10 for Luton are right enough here and Forest Green are a little overpriced at 67/10, but the draw will be around 47/10, which makes a little more sense for the visitors.
We think that the contrast between these sides should count for something here, as if Luton are able to survive Forest Green's intense pressing, then their extra quality should shine through. However, if Forest Green are able to force turnovers high up the pitch, they'll be able to make this game a bit of a scrap.
Luton should boss this tie overall, so we're going for a home win, but the visitors can make this competitive for periods of the game. Over 2.5 goals at 41/100 points towards an open game, while Both Teams to Score at 33/50 is a decent play here given the puncher's chance that Forest Green will have.
