- MK Dons have won six of their last ten games, drawing two and losing two.
- Swindon have won two, drawn three and lost five of the last ten in all competitions.
- MK Dons have won the last two meetings between the clubs and have won five of their seven home games this season.
MK Dons have been superior
There's a real contrast in the way Paul Warne and Ian Holloway set up their teams to play. The MK Dons boss has brought an order to The Dons with a three-at-the-back system and wing-backs that provide width and his team builds patiently from the back into the box.
Holloway has brought a front-foot, high-energy approach to Swindon Town, pressing hard and then transitioning quickly to play on the counter. The Robins will look to pressure the ball, get it back high up the pitch and then create chaos behind for their frontmen to run onto.
Aaron Drinan has been a real problem child for Swindon this season, netting three of the team's four goals in the past five games and providing the vast majority of their cutting edge, but MK's Aaron Collins has scored three of the Dons' seven goals in the same five games.
Swindon set to press and run
MK Dons come into this match in the midst of a three-game winning streak after crushing Bromley 4-1 and Doncaster Rovers 6-1 at home in the FA Cup. The Dons have won 2 of their 3 home head-to-head meetings, but Swindon are no slouches at the moment either.
The Robins have beaten Barnet 3-1 away, drawn 0-0 at Bristol Rovers and beaten Rotherham United 2-1 at home in their last three. Swindon have won just one, drawn one and lost two of their four away matches this term and are underdogs for this tie.
The odds are not fair
There's not much sense in the odds with The Dons 51/100, Swindon 91/20 and the draw 33/10, as the home side have been the superior side and have a much better home record than the visitors.
So it's tough to back anything other than MK Dons for this one, but Holloway's team will press and they can make this game close with their transition play. The Dons should edge it but back over 2.5 goals at 16/25 rather than taking the hosts at such a short price.
