- Stevenage (The Boro) are 12th in League One 2026/2027 with 12 points from 9 games (W2, D1, L1 from 4 home league fixtures - scoring 1.50 goals and conceding 1.25 goals per game). Milton Keynes Dons FC (The Dons) are 18th in League One 2026/2027 with 9 points from 9 games (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from the last 5 games). They are yet to win an away game in the 2026/2027 season (D3, L1 from 4 away fixtures), but they do average 1.50 goals per away game. Aaron Collins is the main man for MK Dons with 5 goals in 7 games. Wanya Marcal-Madivadua and Dan Kemp are Stevenage's joint top scorers, but Kemp has 3 goals in 7 and has been their most consistent outlet.
An entertaining, yet cagey, affair is in the cards at Lamex
With Stevenage winning 3 and losing 2 from their last 5 fixtures and MK Dons picking up 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from the same period, we're looking at two solid mid-table teams. Stevenage can be a decent side on their day. They were able to edge past Wigan Athletic 1-0 at home but fell 2-0 away to Bradford City last time out. MK Dons are yet to notch a victory away from Stadium MK but have had some tricky fixtures. This is a clash of styles with Stevenage playing a compact 4-2-3-1 which is as much about keeping it tight and hitting on the break as it is about playing football. Alex Revell has done a nice job setting up his team and they'll be hoping to pounce on any error made by the visitors. Paul Warne plays a higher-tempo 4-3-3 style in which his MK Dons press hard and get the ball forward as quickly as possible. This should make for an exciting chess match on Saturday.
Stevenage to edge it at home?
Whilst MK Dons can be a brilliant team, they are also capable of being a disaster. They beat Luton Town 2-1 last weekend after a 5-1 defeat to Reading on home turf and their 7-1 victory over Brentford U21 in the EFL Trophy was a classic boom or bust performance.
This leaves the Dons needing to keep up the positive momentum in order to get out of trouble, and they are 18th in the league with 9 points from 9. They need to get out of the slump and Stevenage look the narrow favourite to take all 3 points at 67/50, although I think they are there for the taking and MK Dons are just behind at 97/50. The draw looks a decent option too at 21/10.
Stevenage have won their last 2 home games and whilst The Boro have had a couple of bumps in the road, they have hit a little mini-surge recently which I feel should see them over the line on Saturday.
This will be a tight one, but I can see MK Dons getting enough chances to make it a real game, so I'm going for a Stevenage win and under 2.5 goals to add a little insurance on what should be a cagey affair.
