- Monterrey are a 129/100 favourite against Necaxa at 46/25, with the draw at 63/25.
- Monterrey have won their last 5 against Necaxa, including a 2-0 away victory 6 months ago.
Head-to-Head and Recent Form
Monterrey are slight favorite to beat Necaxa at Estadio Victoria on Sunday afternoon, and it is hard to argue with that, given the head-to-head record of the two teams. Rayados have won their last 5 against Los Hidrorrayos, who have taken 0 and had no draws in that run. Monterrey also won 2-0 here when they last faced off in Liga MX 2025/2026. Monterrey have 3 points from 1 match in Liga MX 2026/2027 and are 6th on the table, while Necaxa have 3 points from 1 and sit in 7th, so this is already a close-table battle. Necaxa have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 in all competitions, swinging between an early-season victory and 2 defeats. Monterrey have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 in all competitions, which makes them a team with a bit of a bite but not total control. Necaxa's last 2 games show the pendulum they've been swinging between, with a 4-1 away loss to Cruz Azul followed up by a 2-1 home win over CF Atlante on Thursday.
Gameplan and Key Players
This is a matchup of two very different styles of play. Martin Varini's Necaxa play a more patient 4-3-3 with a strong build-up, plenty of width and the ability to make vertical runs. Matias Almeyda's Monterrey are a high-tempo, high-pressing team with a vertical style that turns the ball over and hits on the break.
The home side will look to Julian Carranza to light up the game, as the winger has 1 goal and 1 assist in his 1 Liga MX 2026/2027 appearance so far, and has been a real spark in the final third.
Monterrey will lean on Lucas Ocampos, who has 2 goals in 1 Liga MX 2026/2027 match, and 4 of Rayados' last 6 goals, so he is the best bet to be the killer pass or finish on Sunday. Tomas Badaloni has chipped in 2 of Necaxa's last 5 goals, so he's also a box to box threat, and Diego Rossi, with 1 assist in 1 Liga MX 2026/2027, is the creative spark for Monterrey, using pressure to his advantage to make chances.
Match Result and Betting
Monterrey are the right favourites to win this match but they are winless in their last 2 away games (D1, L1) and only marginally better over their last 5 (W2, D1, L2), which takes some shine off the 129/100 quote. Necaxa are also unbeaten at home in Liga MX 2026/2027 (W1, D0) and have conceded just 1 goal.
The head-to-head still gives Monterrey the edge, and with Ocampos in great form, we're going with Rayados to nick this game, with a high tempo match that can be edged by Monterrey if they press early and well. The goal markets seem lively too, with Over 2.5 at 29/50 and Both Teams to Score at 47/100 both looking like good bets for what could be an end-to-end game with some goals at both ends.
