- Newcastle have won two of their last five matches (Loss 3).
- Everton have lost their last two matches.
- Newcastle have not won either of their last two home fixtures against Everton.
Toffees to burst the hoodoo at St James’ Park
Newcastle have been in mixed form since the Premier League 2026/2027 season kicked off, but so have most teams at this early stage of the new campaign. However, a reaction was required after their 0-1 home defeat to Aston Villa nine days ago and the Magpies made no mistake when turning things around with a 2-0 victory away at Crystal Palace yesterday.
Everton have had similar results to their hosts so far, but they are wobbling after successive defeats across their last two fixtures. David Moyes has set his Toffees up in a rather pragmatic and solid system, but they have added a bit of opposition-half pressing and bite this season to their game.
The Toffees have failed to win any of their four away trips across the Premier League 2026/2027 so far (Draw 3, Loss 1), however, they will be encouraged by the fact that Newcastle have failed to beat Everton in either of their last two games at St James' Park. The last meeting was two months ago in the Friendly Club Matches 2026, where Everton ran out 3-1 winners as hosts, so the Toffees certainly have good reason to be hopeful that they can break their away-day hoodoo on Monday.
Matthias Jaissle’s men may be the likelier winners
Newcastle and Everton will line up differently for this clash, as Matthias Jaissle's side have been playing on the front foot and counter-pressing at a high tempo. That should be a good test of Everton's disciplined pivot and deeper structure, while Moyes' side will no doubt be looking to cause problems for Newcastle through turnovers and set piece situations.
Anthony Elanga has been Newcastle's most dangerous player so far this season, making them top Premier League 2026/2027 scorer with two goals in three. Joseph Willock has also been lively with two in his last five, as the Magpies have scored six goals in their previous five.
Thierno Barry is Everton's main danger man with two in five Premier League 2026/2027 games. In fact, two of Everton's last four goals have been scored by the midfielder.
There is plenty of value in the draw
While I'm going for Everton to break Newcastle's hoodoo at Newcastle, there is a lot of value in the 51/20 for the draw. However, the odds on Newcastle are attractive enough to make them the slight favourites for the game, so we're siding with the hosts at 5/4 ahead of the Toffees at 19/10 and the stalemate.
A goals bet also appeals here, with Over 2.5 at 7/10 and BTTS at 3/5 both pointing towards both sides getting chances to score in this close clash.
