- England are the form favourites to win and can keep the momentum going.
- Norway have had success playing direct and vertical football with more freedom.
- Thomas Tuchel's England have been more measured, controlled and structure-first.
England to edge a cracker at Miami Stadium
England's odds for Saturday's FIFA World Cup clash against Norway are around 1/1 and that looks good enough for us to tip them for a win in what should be a tasty affair at Miami Stadium.
The Three Lions have won their last three games in a row, including a 3-2 win over Mexico and a 2-1 victory against DR Congo in the knockout stage of the World Cup.
They also average 1.80 goals per game, having scored 18 times in total, so they are a far more measured and efficient attacking unit compared to Norway who are direct and free-flowing.
England and Norway are evenly matched
Norway will not fear the favourites in this one as they have won their last two matches on the bounce after recovering from a 4-1 defeat to France. They beat Ivory Coast in the first round and then shocked Brazil 2-1 in the second round. In between those two games, Norway have played ten fixtures across all competitions, winning six, drawing two and losing two, and while that keeps them in the mix for the winners, it is hardly a world-beating record. England's record in their last 10 games across all competitions is seven wins, two draws and one defeat and it seems that Thomas Tuchel has brought a sense of momentum and togetherness to the Three Lions since he took over on 1 January 2025.
Tight fixture with big names on show
Philippe Clement took over as Norway boss on 18 November 2025 and it has shown in the way they play, which is much more direct and with much more freedom.
Haaland and Sørloth get the ball quickly and full-backs get it wide to them, too, so there is a lot more chaos on the pitch when Norway have the ball and more to play off when they lose it.
England's 4-2-3-1 system is more rigid and relies on a balanced midfield base, half-space dominance and wide delivery to manufacture high-value chances.
We think this game will come down to which side can make one moment count, with the match odds for Norway at 59/20 and the draw at 27/10.
Norway average 2.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game, so they can trade blows with England and may even nick it, but we are going for England to win this one and keep the good times rolling.
