- Norwich City have won two of their three home Championship 2026/27 games, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
- Bolton Wanderers have failed to win any of their three Championship 2026/27 away games, scoring just 0.67 goals per game.
- Mohamed Toure has scored four of Norwich's 12 goals in their last five Championship 2026/27 matches.
Canaries have a step to make
12th-placed Norwich City will host 20th-placed Bolton Wanderers in the Championship 2026/27 on Sunday afternoon, with the hosts heavy 11/20 favourites to take the points against The Trotters, who are 17/4, with the draw available at 33/10.
The Canaries have won three of their last five games, including away wins against Sheffield United and Birmingham City, while Bolton have one win in their last five, a 1-0 home win over Cardiff City that they'll hope can kickstart their season.
Trotters are too short in the away game
Norwich are playing with a clear structure and a co-ordinated press under Philippe Clement, while Bolton play high and press, and they can be very impressive to watch when they get it right. The trouble is, Norwich are a far better team and the visitors will have to press the hosts if they want to control the game, which shouldn't suit them on the road.
Bolton are simply too long in the odds for this game, especially with Norwich having won their last two games at home. Bolton's last two away games have been losses and they need to travel to a very good side at the top of their game.
Norwich can control the ball
Norwich have two wins from three games at Carrow Road, averaging 2.33 goals per game, which is a good average for a team that is yet to find their shooting boots on a regular basis. Bolton have scored just 0.67 goals per game away from home, winning zero, drawing one and losing two of their first three away Championship 2026/27 games.
The most likely scenario on Sunday is a Norwich win, but Bolton's front-foot approach to the game, and their ability to press the ball could keep this close enough for the visitors to be a threat if they get on the front foot first.
Norwich's double-pivot system and their control of the 4-2-3-1/4-3-3 system they play should see them control the football, but Bolton's press could allow them to steal the odd possession in the wide areas and get the occasional shot.
Faces in the crowd
Mohamed Toure is Norwich's man to watch in the Championship 2026/27, scoring four of Norwich's 12 goals. But Bolton have a goalscorer of their own in Sam Dalby, who has two in seven, giving the away side a modest focal point up top.
A Norwich City win and over 2.5 goals is the way to go in the outright market as the Canaries should be able to take control of this game. The average of 2.33 goals for Norwich at home and 0.67 for Bolton on the road fits the 53/100 odds nicely.
