- Derby County have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 Championship 2026/2027 matches.
- Burnley have won 0 of their 3 home Championship 2026/2027 fixtures, drawing 2 and losing 1.
- Derby County's Bobby Clark has scored twice in 7 Championship 2026/2027 games.
Punters have Burnley in the shade
Burnley are the slight favourites to win Saturday's Championship 2026/2027 clash at Turf Moor, with the Clarets priced at 81/100 and the Rams at 16/5 for this crucial clash.
Derby County have won just once and lost four of their past five games and will be licking their wounds after a difficult week that saw them lose 3-0 away at West Ham United, 0-1 at home to West Bromwich Albion and 1-2 at home to Birmingham City.
The Rams have won 1 and lost 2 of their 3 away Championship 2026/2027 games so far and they will need to be at their best to beat Burnley in a game that is likely to be a cagey affair.
Betting angles on Burnley and Derby clash
Derby County are 22nd in the Championship 2026/2027 with four points from seven games, one point above Burnley who sit 24th with just three points in the bank. John Eustace has the Derby players organised and playing with a pragmatic purpose, setting up with a narrow 4-4-2 base, they will look to frustrate the Clarets when they have the ball and clog the game up in a low block when they don't. Nicky Hayen's Burnley have the possession and the players to press with purpose, which can often be a problem for Derby, who will be sitting deep and trying to be compact in this match. Zian Flemming is Burnley's danger man right now, he's the Championship 2026/2027's leading scorer with two goals in two games and looks like the most likely to take advantage of any gaps that Derby leave in the middle of the park. Bobby Clark is Derby's spark plug, he's top scorer in the Championship 2026/2027 with two from seven and has also contributed two assists so far, making him the only player that Derby have really looked to for creativity.
Burnley to nick it
Our main selection for this game is Burnley to win, for this contest of two teams in trouble. Burnley have been playing as well as Derby in the Championship 2026/2027 season so far, but the main reason we're siding with the home side is that Derby have been so poor lately.
They have been better away than at home, but still managed to lose 1-2 to Birmingham in their last home game and their form is slipping in the wrong direction.
Derby can play a good compact game, but Burnley have the quality and the structure to break them down and we are going to take the hosts to nick it.
Burnley have scored 1.33 goals and conceded 1.67 goals on average at Turf Moor in the Championship 2026/2027 and that makes under 2.5 goals, at 19/20, the play for this clash of two clubs that look like relegation candidates in the early stages of the season.
