- Quorn have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their 14 Southern League Premier Division Central home games this season.
- Stamford have only won 2 of their 12 away league games this term (D1, L9), but they have improved on the road recently, going unbeaten in their last two away matches (W1, D1).
- Quorn have won just 1 of their last 5 league matches (L4).
Side with Stamford for a scrap
Quorn are having a good season, sitting in sixth in the Southern League Premier Division Central table on 44 points from 28 games - which is probably enough for the play-offs.
However, the home side’s form has tailed off recently with just one win from their last five, four of which they have lost.
The home team are known for their up-tempo style under Ryan Beswick, who preaches an attack-first philosophy. They like to press teams, counter and get wide as quickly as possible to stretch the opponents and get at them from the byline.
Stamford have their own identity and have certainly improved since Graham Drury took over in November 2015. They’ve added some directness to their play in recent years, particularly from set pieces, and are usually disciplined enough to play compact and frustrating when out of possession.
Leon Lobjoit has been a real spark for the visitors, scoring four of Stamford’s seven goals in their last five league matches. The visitors are unbeaten in their last five, drawing their last two against Alvechurch (0-0 away) and Bromsgrove Sporting (2-2 home).
Quorn have suffered back-to-back defeats on their own patch, going down 3-4 to Spalding United in a thriller last weekend after suffering a narrow 0-1 reverse to Alvechurch the previous Tuesday.
Back the draw for a good payout
Stamford are 20th in the table with just 23 points from 26 matches. They are coming up against a Quorn side who have home advantage and are rated as short as 59/100 for the win here, while the draw is a huge 147/50 and Stamford are 357/100.
That seems a tad generous to us, particularly considering Stamford have improved recently. Quorn should have enough to nick this one, but the improvement in Stamford’s away record of late suggests they can at least avoid defeat.
A home win is expected, but the value is in the value draw, while over 2.5 goals looks a solid wager at 29/50 and would seem to suit Quorn’s style of play and their home record of both scored and conceded 1.71 goals per game on average in the league.
