- Real Madrid have won three of their last five La Liga fixtures, losing two.
- Real Mallorca have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five.
An intriguing tactical battle awaits
Real Madrid have taken the LaLiga by storm since Alvaro Arbeloa took charge and have moved into 2nd spot with 69 points from 29 games while Mallorca are languishing in 18th with 28 points after 29 fixtures.
Arbeloa’s success has been built on a solid system that is structured in build-up and transition, with an ability to play at a high tempo and press in numbers when necessary. Martin Demichelis has been doing something similar since taking over as Mallorca boss in late February 2026.
He has begun to move Mallorca away from their defence-first, low-block style to something more intense, proactive and possession-based.
It could make for a fascinating tactical clash on Saturday and both sides could find their way through on the break, given how the visitors are built to play at a tempo that should suit them. In that regard, Real Madrid are likely to win again, as they have done in nine of their 14 away LaLiga games in 2025-2026, drawing three and losing two while only conceding 1.00 goals per game on average on their travels.
Madrid are on a roll
Real Madrid have won their last three LaLiga matches and have only lost two of their last 14 away league games, so the momentum is with the visitors to claim another win at Son Moix.
Although the hosts have won six, drawn four and lost four at home in LaLiga in 2025-2026, scoring 21 goals in 14 games, the quality and momentum of Real Madrid should be enough to see them take the points.
Vedat Muriqi has been Mallorca’s biggest threat this season with 18 goals in 28 LaLiga appearances, two of which came in their last five. Kylian Mbappe has been a touch below his very best since Arbeloa took over at Real Madrid, but his 23 goals in 24 appearances have been a big factor in their recent results, while Vinicius Junior has chipped in with three of their last ten.
Real Madrid are rightful favourites to win this clash at 14/25, but that doesn’t suit the price I want to be on. Over 2.5 goals at 13/20 and Both Teams to Score - Yes at 7/10 are my picks in this clash of styles with title-chasing Madrid coming up trumps in a lively encounter, as they have in four of the last five meetings between these sides.
