- SC Freiburg are the form side, having won their last 3 matches, including a 3-1 away win at Motherwell and a 3-0 extra-time home win over Crystal Palace.
- Freiburg have won the last 3 meetings of the sides, including a 1-0 home Bundesliga win over Bremen 6 months ago.
- SV Werder Bremen have won 3 of their last 5, but a 1-0 home defeat to A.J. Auxerre is a smudge on their record.
Freiburg the form team and the favourites
It is SC Freiburg who are the odds-on favourite at 97/100, with SV Werder Bremen coming in at 13/5 and the draw 51/20 for Sunday's Bundesliga 2026-2027 fixture at Europa-Park Stadion. The home side will need to edge this to secure 3 points, but we're sure they can do that if they play like they did against Motherwell and Palace last time out.
Julian Schuster has Freiburg in a nice groove, keeping their compact shape and keeping it narrow when they're out of possession. They're selective in their pressing, but when they do engage, they're sharp in their structure. Lucas Hoeler has been their danger man of late, scoring 3 of their 7 goals in the last 5 matches.
Daniel Thioune's side look a different animal now, with their more higher-tempo approach and faster transition game giving them a chance to hurt any team if they beat Freiburg's first pressure and break fast. However, Freiburg will try to smother Bremen through the middle with their first-line pressing and compact block.
Draw looks possible, but Freiburg have the edge
Werder Bremen have 3 wins and 1 loss from their 4 away games across all current competitions, scoring 13 times in the process, but this is a much tougher ask. They haven't won on either of their last 2 trips to face Freiburg, so we're taking the home edge into account for our primary bet.
Freiburg's overall form looks stronger, particularly at home, where they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss across all current competitions. They've scored 2.17 goals per game and conceded just 1.00 at home, so we feel they can edge out the visitors in an open game.
Over 2.5 goals at 73/100 and BTTS Yes at 31/50 look like solid odds for what should be a lively game, but the margins will be controlled by Freiburg, so we're going with the draw for the double chance.
