- Team form: Freiburg are the form team in the Bundesliga, having won their last 3 matches in a row, including a 3-0 extra-time win at home to Crystal Palace and a 3-1 away win at Motherwell.
- Head-to-head: Freiburg have won the last 3 head-to-head meetings between these two clubs, including a 1-0 home Bundesliga win over Bremen 6 months ago.
Fast-paced Freiburg should see off Bremen
SC Freiburg are the odds-on favorites at 1.97 ahead of SV Werder Bremen's 3.6 with the tie coming in at 3.55 for Sunday's Bundesliga match at Europa-Park Stadion in Germany. The market has these two teams almost spot on as it appears that both are operating at a similar level right now, however, our prediction for a home win has Die Breisgauer edging out Werder on the day in what should be a competitive and fast-paced matchup.
A 0-1 loss at home to A.J. Auxerre last time out did nothing to improve that view of the Green-Whites.
- Freiburg are the clear form team in the Bundesliga this season, winning each of their last 3 games.
- At home in all competitions, Julian Schuster's men have won four, drawn one and lost one of their six fixtures, averaging 2.17 goals per-game while conceding an average of 1.00 per-game.
- Bremen's last 10 matches across all competitions reads 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats, which is a decent return but lacks the consistency that Freiburg have found in their stride.
Hosts can control the margins
Tactical matchup:
The Bremen side that Daniel Thioune has built over the last couple of years has a little more tempo and a much more vertical edge to it than the Freiburg of old, who were more patient and preferred to move the ball wide. Thioune's men are high-pressing and winning the ball back in high places, which means they can transition through the thirds very quickly.
However, Freiburg have been built to maintain a compact, narrow shape when under pressure and to play with the sharpness of a good Swiss watch when in possession. Schuster's side will look to smother the visitors through the middle on Sunday and try to create enough of a margin for them to edge out Bremen on their home turf.
Key player & betting angles:
Lucas Hoeler is the danger man for Freiburg, as 3 of the hosts' 7 goals in their last 5 fixtures have come courtesy of his boots, and we expect him to be in contention for the winner in this one. At an odds of 1.73, Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score – Yes at 1.62 look like good bets given that Bremen have scored 13 goals in their 4 away matches in all competitions this term.
