- Sassuolo are the more impressive team so far this season, but Monza have the best recent record in the head-to-head and the home advantage.
- SSD Monza 1912 have won three of the last five games between the two clubs (W3, D2, L0).
- Sassuolo have failed to win their last three away games.
Monza in danger of becoming trapped
SSD Monza 1912 have played well at times this season, but they are still winless after three games and already under pressure in Serie A 2026/2027. I Biancorossi are 18th in the table with one point from their first three matches and it's already getting a little hot and heavy for the Lombardy club.
Monza's last game was a 2-3 home loss to Udinese, which has them looking a little overcooked. Ivan Juric has them set up to press the ball aggressively, with a ferocious back three and a man-to-man pressing scheme that is perfect for vertical transitions, but it has been tough for the hosts to keep the opposition out, especially in Serie A 2026/2027.
Monza have scored 2.00 and conceded three goals per game at home so far this term, which is not a recipe for success. Gustavo Varela has been their biggest threat so far with two goals in two Serie A 2026/2027 appearances, while Ricardo Mangas has been their most creative player with two assists in three matches. The Neroverdi are the in-form side, but Monza have a good recent record in this fixture and are still likely to be up for it.
Neroverdi have a structured approach
Sassuolo have won three of their last five matches (D1, L1), drawing 2-2 with Bologna and beating Torino 2-1 at home in Serie A, and drawing 1-1 with Frosinone in the midweek Coppa Italia (won on penalties). Their 2-2 away draw with Bologna is the only blip, but that's understandable against a team as structured as the Biancorossi.
Alberto Aquilani's side are set up with a possession-first mindset and a structure that allows them to play through the thirds with controlled build-up play. The wide areas are likely to be important for the Neroverdi, who will look to get behind Monza's high defensive line when they can. Cas Odenthal has been Sassuolo's sharpest finisher in the early stages of the season, bagging one goal in his one Serie A 2026/2027 appearance.
Sassuolo are 10th in the Serie A 2026/2027 with four points from their opening three games, which is a steadier start to the season than Monza. They have scored 1.50 and conceded two goals per away game so far, so their approach points to more open games.
Open game expected
I Biancorossi know how to make it tough for Sassuolo in this matchup, having won three of the last five meetings, so this game won't be a one-sided affair. The odds are slightly toward Sassuolo at 73/50, with Monza 43/25 and the draw 47/20.
However, Sassuolo look the more likely winner, although Monza's head-to-head record is hard to ignore and the fact that the home side is winless at their own ground. As such, both teams to score at 7/10 looks a solid play, while Over 2.5 goals at 9/10 seems a sharper bet given the attacking numbers each team has posted so far.
