- The 1X2 markets suggest this will be close with Genoa 37/25, Parma 41/20 and draw 99/50.
- Parma's last 5 competitive games have seen them win 1, draw 1 and lose 3.
- Genoa have fared similarly with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions.
No home advantage for Parma
AC Parma have failed to win either of their home matches in Serie A 2026/2027, drawing once and losing once, while Genoa are yet to win on the road in 1 game in Serie A 2026/2027, but have only conceded once.
The hosts will be looking for their first win of the season, but they have scored just once at home and Genoa's single away goal was the only goal they have let in on the road. The odds-on price for under 2.5 goals at 1/2 seems a touch short considering, but there is still a good chance of a low-scoring duel in the Parma vs Genoa clash at the Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Parma and Genoa have averaged just 0.7 and 0.3 goals respectively across the last 5 Serie A H2Hs, the last of which at Parma in Serie A 2025/2026 finished 0-0. The hosts have scored 1 goal and the visitors scored 3 in two home games in 2026/27 and that leads us to a BTTS No bet at 7/10 alongside the 0-0 correct score prediction.
Gialloblu have Lontani as their lone goal threat
Simone Lontani has been the main man for Parma in 2026/2027, scoring all 3 of the club's goals in their current five-match run of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses. Daniele De Rossi took the reigns at Genoa on 6 November 2025.
Parma's 4-4-2 system is built to play with a high line and then press high in a similar way to that of De Rossi's 3-4-2-1 or 3-5-2. The Gialloblu have a very high defensive line with lots of players in front of the ball and are an aggressive pressing side with quick men who can counter-attack.
Parma have been a little more compact than some of the other 4-4-2 sides with more of a line than a block, but their pressing trigger is similar to Genoa's. Parma are in the mix to grab a goal, although there is a feeling that the visitors might edge this one.
De Rossi’s pressing system set for clash
Carlos Cuesta has been in charge at Parma since 21 June 2025 and his side are currently 17th in Serie A 2026/2027 on 1 point from 3 games, while Genoa sit 19th on 1 point from 4 matches. The two clubs are already looking at a season of early-season struggle.
Parma's recent results include a 0-2 home defeat to Cremonese in the Coppa Italia 2026/2027 and a 1-1 home draw with Monza in Serie A 2026/2027. Genoa also played two home matches in their most recent two outings, losing 1-4 to Como in Serie A 2026/2027 and drawing 1-1 with Frosinone in Serie A 2026/2027.
Johan Vasquez has scored 1 goal in 4 Serie A 2026/2027 matches to lead Genoa's scoring charts, but they have brought in Djibril Sow to add a bit of creativity to their set-up with 1 assist in 4 appearances. De Rossi's side will have a presence at set pieces and second balls, but will have a tough time getting at this Parma side that will pack the box against them.
The 1X2 markets reflect the overall quality of these teams and suggest that this is going to be a close match. Parma have the better quality on paper, but Genoa will arrive in better spirits after their 1-1 draw with Frosinone in Serie A 2026/2027 and they have the more dangerous striker in Vasquez, so we are giving them the edge on the away edge or a draw, which seems a distinct possibility.
