- Celta are undefeated in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions (W5, D4, L1).
- Celta are unbeaten in all 5 away games in all competitions this season (W2, D3).
- Valencia are in poor form with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5.
Valencia are in a rut
Carlos Corberán has Valencia set up in a high-tempo 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 system built around an aggressive press and fast breaks, however they are going to face a Celta de Vigo side.
Celta de Vigo are flexible and asymmetric in their shape, yet still use a sharp counter-press and plenty of transition play to keep the game flowing and them on the front foot.
Celta come into this with high spirits off the back of back-to-back away games, winning 4-1 against Sassuolo and drawing 1-1 with Napoli. They are in strong overall form, but they will know exactly how to hurt Valencia here.
Celta have a knack for away-day wins
Celta are favoured to come away with at least a point at 12/5 and that looks good value considering Valencia are 57/50 favourites here, with the draw coming in at 9/4.
Valencia have been in poor form, losing 1-2 to Newcastle and 0-1 to CD Teruel, both at home, in their previous 2 fixtures, while they have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 in all competitions.
Celta are yet to be beaten away in all current competitions and have conceded only 5 goals in 5 away matches, so they are the one team that Valencia really need to watch out for right now.
There is an obvious clash of styles and the directness of Valencia's press will be a little riskier than the calmer build-up and quicker outlet balls that Celta can create. But there is a chance that Celta's transition will punish any loose touch in midfield.
Valencia have conceded 7 goals in 6 home matches in all competiions so they aren't impossible to break down at Mestalla, while Celta have also won the last meeting 3-2 away in LaLiga 2025/2026.
Take the draw and under 2.5
So the visitors already know how to get at Los Che at their home ground and with 9 of Celta's last 10 games ending in a draw or a win, we're taking the safer play of the 9/4 draw option on Saturday's game.
The goal markets are a little split with under 2.5 coming in at 13/20 and BTTS No at 83/100, while BTTS Yes is a shade of odds shorter at 91/100.
We're going for the lower goal markets here as this looks like a tight away-day test for Celta, even with home advantage, and Valencia's average of 2.0 goals scored against Celta across the last 5 head-to-heads at Mestalla is matched by Celta's average of 2.0 scored away to Valencia in that same run.
