- Athletic Bilbao have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five matches.
- Sevilla FC have won four of their last five games.
- Sevilla have not won any of their last three away games against Athletic Bilbao.
Basques looking to lock in the points
San Mamés is where the home side play, but Saturday's match against Sevilla is a tough fixture whatever the venue. Athletic Bilbao have won five, drawn two and lost three of their ten games across all competitions in a decent, but slightly up-and-down run to the season so far.
Edin Terzic has set the side up in a 4-2-3-1 system that flows, with fluid rotations between players, quick vertical breaks and collective pressing. The Basque side's last two results have been disappointing with 3-1 and 1-0 away defeats against Olympique Marseille and Atalanta Bergamo respectively, but they will be expected to return to winning ways against a Sevilla side they lost 2-1 away in LaLiga 2025/2026.
At home, Athletic are undefeated after two drawn matches (W0, D2, L0) in all competitions, which tells us that San Mamés hasn't yet become a fortress this season with the average goals scored at 1.50 and the average conceded also at 1.50.
Sevilla have been solid on the road
Sevilla, by contrast, have won six and lost four of their 10 games to date (all comps), a superior win ratio but fewer stalemates than their opponents. Luis Garcia has Los Nervionenses set up in a compact 4-2-3-1 system that is built on structure, quick counters and some good wing play.
Sevilla have conceded 11 goals in seven away matches across all competitions, so the back four hasn't been watertight away from home. Their recent results have been two wins on the spin, against NEC Nijmegen and FC Utrecht, followed by the 2-1 loss to Bayer Leverkusen. Miguel Angel Sierra has been their best attacking player recently, netting two of Sevilla's last four goals across the last five.
Bilbao to nick it
These two clubs have shared the spoils across the last two head-to-head clashes (W1, L1) and this will be another tight game, but the hosts have the edge at 73/100, Sevilla are 39/10 and the draw is 5/2. Under 2.5 goals at 31/50 seems the cleaner side of the market here, while both teams to score would be No at 7/10.
Athletic's winless home record and Sevilla's poor away record combined with the fact that Los Leones have more to prove, suggests a home win is the more likely outcome of this match. But Los Nervionenses are a counter-attacking threat and will make this a competitive encounter. A single goal could be enough for the home team in a low-scoring fixture.
