- West Ham have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five Premier League matches.
- Manchester City have won four and drawn one of their last five in the league.
- City have won all of their last five Premier League fixtures against the Hammers.
City have an answer to every question
It is two months since these teams last met in the Premier League 2025-2026 and it was Manchester City who strolled to a 3-0 home victory over Nuno Espirito Santo’s side that day.
It was the fifth consecutive win in this fixture for the Citizens.
City are the dominant side in terms of head-to-head record and we’re going to go with the same outcome on Saturday, but for a different reason.
Nuno’s Hammers have a different identity
The 2025/26 campaign has been a story of two very different halves for West Ham, with Nuno Espirito Santo’s pragmatic, organised, and disciplined outlook proving to be the perfect antidote to the chaos of Moyes’ era.
He has taken charge of West Ham in late September 2025 and has built his new side around compact, controlled defensive blocks, a specific set of pressing triggers, and rapid counter-attacking play when they have the ball.
Jeglertz, who took over the reins at City in July 2025, has maintained the positional principles that were put in place by Pep Guardiola, but has increased the fluidity of his side’s structure, speeding up the build-up, utilising half-space overloads and ensuring the team has a vertical trigger to keep them dangerous in transition.
Hammers will test the Citizens
West Ham are in dire straits in 18th place with just 28 points from 29 games and every game is a relegation six-pointer for them while City sit 2nd with 60 points from the same 29 matches and are serious title contenders. That makes this a huge match at the end of the season.
Jeglertz’s side has won four and drawn one of their last five Premier League games, beating Newcastle 2-1 at home, Leeds 1-0 away, and drawing 2-2 at home with Nottingham Forest. They have won their last two away from home, however, so an away win is likely and the odds are excellent value at 3/4.
Erling Haaland remains their most prolific striker with 22 goals from 28 Premier League appearances, but Crysencio Summerville has emerged with two of the Hammers last six goals in their recent five-game stretch.
Bowen to get the best of City’s defence
West Ham’s main attacking weapon is Jarrod Bowen with eight league goals from 29 appearances this season and he has also contributed three assists in their last five matches.
West Ham have drawn two and lost none of their last two at the London Stadium, so they should be able to take something from the game even if the result goes to the visitors.
City have won seven, drawn three and lost four of their 14 away league games, scoring 23 goals in the process (average 1.64 per game), so it’s likely that both teams will hit the back of the net, so we’re taking Both Teams to Score at 51/100 in addition to the main selection.
