- SSC Venezia have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five games.
- AC Milan have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five fixtures.
- AC Milan have beaten SSC Venezia in their previous two meetings, including a 2-0 away win in Serie A 2024/2025.
Opposing styles on show at San Siro
Ruben Amorim's Rossoneri are the 1.3 favourites ahead of Friday's clash with SSC Venezia, but the long shot Venezia could be worth a look when they arrive at San Siro. Giovanni Stroppa has maintained the flank-heavy, attacking identity since his appointment as coach on 1 July 2025. That is in stark contrast to Amorim's Milan, who have played possession football with a three-at-the-back base, pressed high in the first phase and tried to play a quick, vertical game since taking over on 16 June 2026. It should make for an interesting chess match between a structured style and a more selective approach to pressing that likes to combine wide in possession and counter-punching. But there's no doubt which side will want to control the ball and which will try to pounce on the counters.
Venezia have momentum in Milan
Venezia arrive in the best of form, winning seven, drawing two and losing just one of their last ten in all competitions, a run which has seen them emerge as one of the sharpest sides in Italy. Milan, by contrast, have a more erratic record with three wins, three draws and four defeats in the same period.
Venezia have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five on the road, while Milan have drawn two and lost one of their last three at the San Siro. That should be enough to make this a more competitive game than the market suggests, with the visitors coming in on the back of a better run of form and the home side struggling to find their flow.
Swerve the Rossoneri at short odds
The Rossoneri should win this game on paper, but the odds-on favourite's stuttering form and the away side's hot streak suggests this will be closer than the prices suggest. Venezia have not won their last away game against Milan, so the home team still have the edge in terms of head-to-head momentum.
But the game should be tight and tense with neither side having an easy time creating chances, so we're swerving the Milan win at 1.3 and taking Under 2.5 goals at 1.98, while Both Teams To Score No looks a good play at 1.55.
Milan have scored only three goals in their last three home games, which suggests they are not quite clicking in the attacking third yet and they will look to smother Venezia deep in their half and win the ball back in good areas. But this game could be won by the side that can manage the transitions best, which is why a low-scoring, cagey affair looks likely.
