- Napoli are unbeaten in their last five games, winning four.
- Napoli have won three and drawn one of their last four home games in all competitions.
Don’t overestimate the gap in Serie A 2026/2027 standings
Napoli are the slight favourites to beat Calcio Como here at 2.4, while the visitors can be backed at 2.88 with the draw at 3.3, so the market has it right in favouring the Azzurri. However, we think the likeliest outcome in this match will be a tight Napoli win or draw.
With just one match played in the current season, Serie A 2026/2027's table could change drastically in the coming weeks, but currently Napoli sit 3rd with three points from one match, while Calcio Como are 6th with one point from one. Como have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five in all competitions, which is a mixed run of results that has lacked momentum.
But Cesc Fabregas has the BiancoBlu playing in a very organised manner, keeping the ball, pressing in numbers and remaining compact. Anastasios Douvikas is Como's top scorer in Serie A 2026/2027 with one goal, but he is certainly the most likely to score for them here, with two of his side's last four goals in all competitions coming from his boot.
Napoli have a knack of keeping things tight
Antonio Vergara is Napoli's top marksman in Serie A 2026/2027 with one goal, but he leads the club's scoring charts with one in total. The Spaniard has the most assists for Napoli with one and will be the livewire between the lines in Massimiliano Allegri's flexible 4-3-3 system, which is designed to control the tempo and allow for rotation in midfield.
Napoli are on a run of two consecutive wins, so they will enter this contest with rhythm, but Como will try to frustrate them. The BiancoBlu have won one, drawn one and lost two of their last four away trips in all competitions, so there is nothing in their recent away form to suggest Napoli are certain to win.
Tighten the odds on the hosts
Although Napoli should have too much quality for the visitors, we feel that their midfield rotation and home rhythm can be used to disrupt the compact Calcio Como block on Sunday. This will be more like a chess match than thrashing, but it could open up as the head-to-head record suggests.
The last time these sides met in Serie A 2025/2026, Como held Napoli to a 0-0 draw at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, a result that makes up part of the Azzurri's current failure to defeat Como in their last three meetings. Napoli have averaged 3.3 goals per home game against Como across five H2H clashes, while Como have scored 3.0 on average as the away side, so it could be a lively game.
Under 2.5 goals looks a slight favourite at 1.62, while Both Teams to Score Yes is too small at 1.93. We will side with the hosts as we believe they can nick this game with some fine finishing, but we're going with a Napoli win or a draw in the draw no bet market.
