- Atalanta Bergamo have won 3 and drawn 1 of their 5 home fixtures in Serie A 2026/2027, averaging 2.20 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded.
- AC Parma are winless after 4 Serie A 2026/2027 away fixtures, losing 4 and drawing 0, and average 0.50 goals scored and 2.25 conceded on the road.
- Nikola Krstovic has scored 5 of Atalanta's 9 goals in their last 5 matches. He is the red-hot finisher on La Dea's books and can win the game on his own.
Stylistic clash set to ensure both teams get into the game
Atalanta Bergamo (11th, 10 points from 8 games) face AC Parma (19th, 4 points from 8) on Monday evening at New Balance Arena in a Serie A 2026/2027 game which could feature plenty of goalmouth action and probably won't be a stroll for La Dea.
Atalanta are in mixed form having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 in all competitions, most recently hammering out a 4-4 draw at home to Frosinone in Serie A 2026/2027 before being outplayed 2-0 away to AFC Ajax in UEFA Conference League League Phase 2026/2027.
Maurizio Sarri has had Atalanta playing a patient build-up game with a 4-3-3 structure and controlled pressing since taking over on 15 June 2026, but they will face a completely different challenge against a Parma side that are set up to play in a more vertical and disruptive manner.
Home comforts can help Sarri’s side through
I Crociati have been led by Alberto Gilardino since 28 September 2026, but his touch is evident in their play so far, and they should bring a sharper, more intense and more direct approach to this game.
Parma are on a 3-match losing streak, losing 0-3 at home to Torino before falling to a 2-1 away defeat against Lazio in their most recent away trip. They are winless on the road in Serie A 2026/2027 after 4 matches (D0 L4), scoring just 0.50 goals and conceding 2.25 goals on average.
This fixture tends to produce goals and Sarri's Atalanta are capable of putting Parma to the sword, as they did in Serie A 2025/2026 when they hammered the club from Emilia Romagna 4-0. There is a fine balance of power between the sides in the recent head-to-head record (W2 D1 L2 for Atalanta) and Parma should have enough of a counter-attacking game to keep this match from turning into a walkover, but Atalanta's superior quality and home advantage should see them edge it.
Krstovic can be the difference
Atalanta come into the fixture as clear 1.5 favourites, with Parma 7.16 and the draw 4.74, but Over 2.5 goals is a smart bet at 1.79, considering Atalanta's home form and that Parma have conceded 9 on the road.
Ederson is the Serie A 2026/2027 top-scorer for Atalanta with 1 goal in 5 games, but Parma will be most concerned by the form of Nikola Krstovic, the red-hot Atalanta striker who has 5 goals in Atalanta's last 5 games.
David Romero is Parma's biggest goal threat, scoring 2 in 4 Serie A 2026/2027 games and 2 of I Crociati's last 4 goals, so he is worth an anytime goalscorer investment.
