- SS Lazio are unbeaten after 3 games at home in Serie A 2026/2027, winning two and drawing one.
- AC Parma are yet to record a Serie A 2026/2027 away win after three attempts (D0, L3).
- Lazio have failed to win their last two home games against Parma.
Lazio look likely to edge it, but won’t walk through Parma
SS Lazio enter their Serie A 2026/2027 home fixture against AC Parma with the clear momentum in their favour after a run of three wins and two draws in their last five matches. They have responded well to the 3-3 home draw with Serie A 2026/2027 newcomers Juve Stabia by going to beat SSD Monza 1912 3-1 on their own patch last time out and the bounce-back ability of Gennaro Gattuso's side has been a pleasing feature in the early season.
Lazio are third in Serie A 2026/2027 with 16 points from their opening six games and that's a very clear top-four pace, so they won't be giving Parma any easy opportunities to make their way back into the relegation battle. As well as being the classier side on paper, the Biancocelesti have been the more effective and their 4-3-3 system looks to be working well with aggression, verticality and ball recovery the key tenets.
Alberto Gilardino has made his Parma side much more compact and far less risky than they were last season. A low block with fast players on the break will be their main weapon and David Romero has been the most effective player in the attack with two goals in his four Serie A 2026/2027 games to date, including two in the last four. He's Parma's most likely goal scorer this weekend, but he'll have to be on form to get them a goal here.
Lazio too sharp to be frustrated
The odds of 1.51 for the home side are certainly not attractive, but Parma are also a very generous 6.5 in the away odds, suggesting that there is a strong lean towards the Lazio win in this one.
Parma's form has been mixed at best over their last five, winning once, drawing once and losing three, and it's not difficult to see where they have lost games. They lost 2-1 at Como and beat Genoa 2-1 at home, before a 3-0 defeat to Inter away. It's swingy and it certainly points to the potential for this to be a home win, but it also suggests that it won't be a walkover.
Lazio have scored six goals in three home league games so far this season and the Olimpico has been a solid fortress, but this is a clash between a high-press team and a low-block team that could become cagey. We'll take the win at a shade of under even money and we'll also be taking Under 2.5 goals at 1.8. Both Teams to Score - No at 1.73 looks great in the BTTS market as the visitors will try to make this as much a game of patience and possession as possible.
Davide Frattesi is the top scorer for Lazio with three goals in five Serie A 2026/2027 appearances and he gives Gattuso a sharp edge from the middle of the pitch, which could be the key to unlocking this game at some point.
