- Atalanta have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five fixtures in all competitions.
- Parma have lost four and won one of their last five in all competitions.
- Atalanta are 3-1-1 at home in Serie A 2026/2027, scoring 2.20 goals per match and conceding 1.60.
Sarri and Gilardino face off at New Balance Arena
Maurizio Sarri took over Atalanta Bergamo on 15 June 2026 and has since installed his structured 4-3-3 system, more patient build-up and more controlled style of pressing which has begun to bear fruit in Serie A 2026/2027.
Atalanta are 11th in Serie A 2026/2027 after eight games played and with ten points on the board, while AC Parma sit below them in 19th with just four points on the table after eight matches.
I Crociati are in a terrible run of form however, having lost three in a row, with a 0-3 home defeat to Torino and a 2-1 away loss to Lazio in their most recent matches. Alberto Gilardino has been in charge since 28 September 2026 and although they've played some better football, they've not yet managed to get a win.
Parma can keep it close
La Dea drew 4-4 at home to Frosinone in their previous league game, but lost 2-0 away to AFC Ajax in their UEFA Conference League Phase 2026/2027 match. Their form is mixed, but Parma are in the doldrums and the Atalanta hosts should have enough quality to win this fixture. But Parma are a decent side and Gilardino is getting a quick and more direct set-up around them which could make this a tricky game for the hosts. Ederson is Atalanta's top scorer in Serie A 2026/2027 with one goal in five games, but Parma should be more concerned about the form of finisher Nikola Krstovic, who has five of Atalanta's nine goals in their last five matches and is a real weapon for Sarri to deploy in the box. Atalanta hammered Parma 4-0 here in Serie A 2025/2026 and the head-to-head record is finely poised with two wins for each in the last five meetings and one draw, but Parma's ability to disrupt the play and hit on the break should keep this from being an easy run for Atalanta. The hosts are 1/2 favourites with Parma at 154/25 and the draw at 187/50. That looks short to us, so we'll take Over 2.5 goals at 79/100, a good price given Atalanta's home scoring average and Parma's poor defensive record on the road.
